...DAYS 1 SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK...THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK...

 

TODAY THERE IS A MARGINAL AND SLIGHT RISK FOR STORMS AS THIS WINTER STORM TRACKS EAST.  TOMORROW THE SEVERE WEATHER BECOMES MORE SERIOUS AS THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT PROBABILITY FOR TORNADOS DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.  

• STAY TUNED TO STORM PREDICTION CENTER UPDATES AND LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST ON THIS SEVERE WEATHER EVENT.

• MAKE SURE YOU HAVE FRESH BACKUP BATTERIES IN YOUR NOAA WEATHER RADIO, AND THAT IT IS PROGRAMED FOR YOUR SPECIFIC AREA.

• ALSO MAKE SURE YOUR CELL PHONE, AND PORTATBLE CHARGERS ARE FULLY CHARGED AND READY IF YOU LOOSE POWER.

• MAKE SURE YOU HAVE EXTRA BATTERIES FOR YOUR FLASHLIGHTS.

• HAVE BIKE HELMETS READY TO COVER YOUR HEAD IF A WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA.  BE STORM READY!

RTW

DAYS 1 SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK

A SLIGHT RISK FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

 ...Oklahoma City, OK...Norman, OK...Wichita Falls, TX...Lawton, OK...Edmond, OK...

A MARGINAL RISK FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS: 

Fort Worth, TX...Wichita, KS...Abilene, TX...Denton, TX...Lewisville, TX...

DAY 1 TORNADO OUTLOOK

 A 5% TORNADO RISK FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

...Wichita Falls, TX...Lawton, OK...Garden City, KS...Dodge City, KS...Duncan, OK...

A 2% TORNADO RISK FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

Oklahoma City, OK...Abilene, TX...Norman, OK...Edmond, OK...Midwest City, OK...

DAY 1 DAMAGING WIND OUTLOOK

A 15% DAMAGING WIND RISK FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

Oklahoma City, OK...Norman, OK...Wichita Falls, TX...Lawton, OK...Edmond, OK

A 5% DAMAGING WIND RISK FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

Fort Worth, TX...Wichita, KS...Abilene, TX...Denton, TX...Lewisville, TX...

DAY 1 HAIL OUTLOOK

A 5% HAIL RISK FOR THE FOLLOWING AREA:

Wichita Falls, TX...Lawton, OK...Garden City, KS...Dodge City, KS...North Platte, NE...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK (ANIMATED)

DAYS 1-3 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK (ANIMATED)

...SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK...THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK...

A WINTER STORM SYSTEM THAT IS TRACKING EAST FROM THE WEST COAST WILL BRING HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS IN ITS PATH.  BY TUESDAY THIS SAME STORM SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE ENOUGH INSTABILITY TO PRODUCE SEVERE STORMS, WILL LARGE HAIL AND TORNADO FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS.

30% ENHANCED RISK FOR ...SHREVEPORT, LA...BOSSIER CITY, LA...MONROE, LA...ALEXANDRIA, LA...GREENVILLE, MS...

15% SLIGHT RISK FOR ...NEW ORLEANS, LA...BATON ROUGE, LA...GARLAND, TX...LITTLE ROCK, AR...JACKSON, MS...

STAY TUNED TO LOCAL WEATHER AND STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR UPDATES.

RTW

DAY 1 SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK

MARGINAL RISK FOR THE FOLLOWING:

...HOUSTON, TX...COLLEGE STATION, TX...SUGAR LAND, TX...THE WOODLANDS, TX...BRYAN, TX...

DAY 1 TORNADO PROBABILITY

A 2% RISK FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

...HOUSTON, TX...COLLEGE STATION, TX...SUGAR LAND, TX...THE WOODLANDS, TX...LAKE CHARLES, LA...

DAY 1 DAMAGING WIND PROBABILITY

A 5% RISK FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

...HOUSTON, TX...COLLEGE STATION, TX...SUGAR LAND, TX...THE WOODLANDS, TX...LAKE CHARLES, LA...

 

DAY 2 SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK

MARGINAL RISK FOR THE FOLLOWING:

...BATON ROUGE, LA...LAFAYETTE, LA...ALEXANDRIA, LA...OPELOUSAS, LA...SULPHUR, LA...

 

DAY 2 DAMAGING WIND PROBABILITY

A 5%  FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

...BATON ROUGE, LA...LAFAYETTE, LA...LAKE CHARLES, LA...ALEXANDRIA, LA...OPELOUSAS, LA...

DAY 3 SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK

MARGINAL RISK FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

...FORT WORTH, TX...OKLAHOMA CITY, OK...TULSA, OK...NORMAN, OK...WICHITA FALLS, TX...

DAY 3 PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORM DEVELOPING

A 5% FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

...FORT WORTH, TX...OKLAHOMA CITY, OK...TULSA, OK...NORMAN, OK...WICHITA FALLS, TX...

IMPORTANT SEVERE STORM PROBABILITY FOR TUESDAY DAY 4

AN ENHANCED 30% FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

SHREVEPORT, LA...BOSSIER CITY, LA...MONROE, LA...ALEXANDRIA, LA...GREENVILLE, MS...

A SLIGHT 15% RISK FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

...NEW ORLEANS, LA...BATON ROUGE, LA...GARLAND, TX...LITTLE ROCK, AR...JACKSON, MS...

SEVERE STORM FOR DAY 5 

A SLIGHT 15% RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

NEW ORLEANS, LA...MOBILE, AL...METAIRIE, LA...GULFPORT, MS...KENNER, LA...

DAY 1-5 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK (ANIMATED)

NATIONAL FORECAST MAPS (ANIMATED)

...CHANGES TO THE SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY 13 AND WEDNESDAY 14...

 

STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS MADE CHANGES TO ARRIVAL OF THE SEVERE WEATHER EARLY NEXT WEEK.  YESTERDAY WE WERE SEEING A SLIGHT RISK ON TUESDAY AND A SLIGHT AND ENHANCED RISK ON WEDNESDAY.  

NOW THE LATEST DAY 5-6 CALLS FOR A SLIGHT AND ENHANCED RISK FOR TUESDAY INSTEAD OF WEDNESDAY.  

DAY 5 TUESDAY ENHANCED RISK AREA:  30% Shreveport, LA...Bossier City, LA...Monroe, LA...Greenville, MS...Texarkana, TX...

DAY 5 TUESDAY SLIGHT RISK AREA: 15% Memphis, TN...New Orleans, LA...Baton Rouge, LA...Little Rock, AR...Jackson, MS...

DAY 6 WEDNESDAY STILL HAS A SLIGHT RISK FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:  15% New Orleans, LA...Baton Rouge, LA...Mobile, AL...Metairie, LA...Gulfport, MS...

DAYS 1-3 SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK

(NORMAL THUNDRSTORM CHANCE)

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK FROM

(15% CHANCE)

THUNDERSTORM CATEGORIES

WEATHER PREDICITION CENTER EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK

DAY 1 

MARGINAL RISK NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COAST

DAY 2 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK

MARGINAL RISK, 

CALIFORNIA COAST AND NORTHERN TEXAS, SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA, THROUGH CENTRAL ARKANSAS

DAY 3 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK

MARGINAL AND A SLIGHT RISK,

SOUTHEAST CALIFONIA COAST AND INLAND AREAS.

DAY 5 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK

SLIGHT RISK,

FOR CENTERL AND NORTH ARAKNSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI

EXCESSIVE RAINFALL CATEGORIES

WPC NATIONAL WEATHER FORECAST MAPS (ANIMATED)

...SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK AND EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK...

 

DAY 1-3 SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK

(CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS)

DAY 5 TUESDAY SEVERE STORMS EXPECTED

(SLIGHT RISK)

DAY 6 WEDNESDAY SEVERE STORMS EXPECTED

(SLIGHT TO ENHANCED RISK)

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK

DAY 2-3 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK

(MARIGINAL RISK)

NATIONAL FORECAST CHART ANIMATION