A LOOK AT WEEKEND TEMPS..COLD AIR FILTERING SOUTHWARD, BUT THE CANADIAN MODEL OVER DOING IT!

LOOKING AND THE POSSIBILITY OF 40S FOR THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA ON SUNDAY MORNING.  THE ONLY OUTLIAR MODEL IS THE CANADIAN MODEL WHICH SHOWS 32 DEGREES FOR BROWARD AND A SMALL AREA OF NORTHERN MIAMI DADE.  THAT TO ME IS INCORRECT FOR A 12Z MODEL RUN ON SUNDAY.

I SAY IN THE 40S IN THE MORNING SUNDAY 60S-50S AROUND NOON TIME.  

RTW

REMEMBER THESE ARE LONG RANGE FORECAST AND ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE.  STAY TUNED FOR DAILY UPDATES.

EUROPEAN 2-METER TEMP MODEL

AMERICAN 2-METER TEMP MODEL

CANADIAN 2-METER TEMP MODEL (TO BULISH OVER DOING IT)

DAY 1 SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK MARGINAL RISK

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SEVERE STORMS TO DAY (MARGINAL RISK) FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS PER THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER.

Evansville, IN...Clarksville, TN...Jonesboro, AR...Owensboro, KY...Conway, AR...

MARGINAL RISK

DAY 1 HAIL OUTLOOK 5%

DAY 1 TORNADO OUTLOOK 2%

DAY 1 DAMAGING WIND OUTLOOK 

LOOKS LIKE MORE COLD AIR FOR FLORIDA THIS WEEKEND

SEEMS LIKE MORE COLD AIR FORM THE ARCTIC MOVING SOUTH FOR THIS WEEKEND.  MAYBE NOT AS EXTREME AS IT WAS IN DECEMBER 2022 BUT YOU WILL FEEL IT.

REMEMBER THESE ARE LONG RANGE FORECAST AND ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE.  STAY TUNED FOR DAILY UPDATES.

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR DAYS 1-3 ALSO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK

 

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS IN THE FOLLOWING AREAS TODAY:

Los Angeles, CA...San Diego, CA...San Jose, CA...Las Vegas, NV...Long Beach, CA...

DAY 1 TORNADO PROBABILITY 2% FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

Los Angeles, CA...Long Beach, CA...Fresno, CA...Santa Ana, CA...Anaheim, CA...

DAY 1 DAMAGING WIND PROBABILITY 5% FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

Los Angeles, CA...San Diego, CA...San Jose, CA...Las Vegas, NV...Long Beach, CA...

DAY 2 SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK MARGINAL RISK FOR THE 

FOLLOWING AREAS:

Memphis, TN...Shreveport, LA...Little Rock, AR...Jackson, MS...Tyler, TX...

DAY 2 TORNADO PROBABILITY 2% FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

Memphis, TN...Shreveport, LA...Little Rock, AR...Tyler, TX...Fort Smith, AR...

DAY 2 DAMAGING WIND PROBABILITY 5% FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

Memphis, TN...Shreveport, LA...Little Rock, AR...Jackson, MS...Tyler, TX...

DAY 2 HAIL PROBABILITY 5% FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

Shreveport, LA...Tyler, TX...Fort Smith, AR...College Station, TX...Longview, TX...

DAY 3 SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

Slight Risk: Atlanta, GA...Birmingham, AL...Montgomery, AL...Columbus, GA...Huntsville, AL...

Nashville, TN...New Orleans, LA...Louisville, KY...Lexington-Fayette, KY...Baton Rouge, LA...

DAY 3 PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS

Atlanta, GA...Birmingham, AL...Montgomery, AL...Columbus, GA...Huntsville, AL...

Nashville, TN...New Orleans, LA...Louisville, KY...Lexington-Fayette, KY...Baton Rouge, LA...

EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK (ANIMATED) DAYS 1-3

NATIONAL WEATHER FORECAST CHARTS (ANIMATED) DAYS 1-3

...DAY 1-4 SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK... ...DAY 1-3 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK... ...FRONT ANALYSIS CHARTS... AND NATIONAL FORECAST CHARTS...

 

PARADE OF PACIFIC STORMS CONTINUES TO BRING HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING TO CALIFORNIA AND SPREADING SNOW EAST AS IT TRACKS ACROSS THE COUNTRY. 

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE STORMS WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA, TEXAS LOUISIANA, AND MISSISSIPPI.

FOR THE LATEST STORM PREDICTION UPDATES CLICK ON THIS LINK CLICK (HERE)

FOR THE LATEST WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER UPDATES CLICK (HERE)

RISK AREAS ARE AS FOLLOWS:

MARGINAL Memphis, TN...Shreveport, LA...Little Rock, AR...Jackson, MS...Tyler, TX...

DAY 3 SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK

DAY 3 SEVERE STORM PROBABILITY

Memphis, TN...Shreveport, LA...Little Rock, AR...Jackson, MS...

Tyler, TX...

DAY 1 SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK 

MARGINAL RISK FOR THE FOLOWING AREAS:

San Jose, CA...San Francisco, CA...Oakland, CA...Salinas, CA...

Sunnyvale, CA...

DAY 1 TORNADO PROABILITY

FOLLOWING RISK AREA 2%

San Jose, CA...San Francisco, CA...Oakland, CA...Salinas, CA...Sunnyvale, CA...

DAY 1 DAMAGING WIND PROBABILITY

FOLLOWING 2% RISK AREAS:

San Jose, CA...San Francisco, CA...Oakland, CA...Salinas, CA...Sunnyvale, CA...

DAY 2 SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK

MARGINAL RISK FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

Los Angeles, CA...San Diego, CA...Long Beach, CA...Santa Ana, CA...Anaheim, CA...

DAY 4 A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS

15% SLIGHT RISK FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

Atlanta, GA...Birmingham, AL...Montgomery, AL...Columbus, GA...Sandy Springs, GA...

DAYS 1-3 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK

FRONT ANALYSIS CHARTS (ANIMATED)

NATIONAL FORECAST CHARTS DAYS 1-3

...SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY JAN 2-3, 2023...

 

FYI... I WILL BE AWAY FROM MY LAPTOP JANUARY 2-6 2023, SO I WILL DO BRIEF UPDATES FROM MY PHONE ON TWITTER AND ON FACEBOOK BUT NOT ON THE BLOG.

ENHANCED SEVERE STORM RISK FOR MONDAY JAN 2, 2023

ENHANCED RISK FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS: 

Shreveport, LA...Little Rock, AR...Tyler, TX...Longview, TX...Bossier City, 

LA...

SLIGHT RISK FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

Houston, TX...Memphis, TN...Garland, TX...Pasadena, TX...Mesquite, TX...

MARGINAL RISK FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

Dallas, TX...Kansas City, MO...Tulsa, OK...Arlington, TX...Plano, TX... 

 DAY 1 SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK 

DAY 2 TORNADO PROBABILITY

SIGNIFICANT TORNADO RISK FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

Shreveport, LA...Little Rock, AR...Tyler, TX...Longview, TX...Bossier City, LA...

10% RISK FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

Shreveport, LA...Little Rock, AR...Tyler, TX...Longview, TX...Bossier City, LA...

  5% RISK FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

Memphis, TN...Mesquite, TX...Fort Smith, AR...Fayetteville, AR...Jonesboro, AR...

2% RISK FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

 Houston, TX...Dallas, TX...Tulsa, OK...Arlington, TX...Plano, TX...

DAY 2 SIGNIFICANT TORNADO RISK !

 

DAY 2 TORNADO PROBABILITIES

DAY 2 HAIL PROBABILITY

DAY 2 DAMAGING WIND PROBABILITY

DAY 3 SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK SLIGHT RISK

DAY 3 SEVERE STORM PROBABILITY

 15% YELLOW/ 5% BROWN