TEMPS ARE FORECAST TO DROP INTO THE 30S OVER NIGHT AND THIS HAS PROMPTED A FROST WARNING WEST OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE AND A FROST ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN FLORIDA SOUTH OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
IF YOU ARE A GROWER YOU NEED TO TAKE PRECAUTIONARY MEASURES TO PREVENT CROP OR DELICATE PLANT DAMAGE.
PLEASE REMEMBER TO BRING IN YOUR PETS THIS EVENING!
RTW
HERE ARE FORECAST TEMPS PER THE GFS, EURO AND THE CANADIAN MODEL"
A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TODAY FOR SOUTHERN FLORIDA, AS A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE STATE, USHERING IN COLD DRY AIR FROM THE NORTH.
WINDS WILL SHIFT OUT OF THE NORTH LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY BECOMING BREEZY MAKING IT FEEL COLDER THAN IT IS. SATURDAY MORNING MAY REQUIRE A WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR A PORTION OF FLORIDA AS THESE GUATY WINDS WILL MAKING IT FEEL COLDER THAN IT IS.
SPC DOES NOT SHOW ANY ORGANIZED SEVERE STORM ACTIVITY FOR THE NEX 8 DAYS. CHECK DAILY THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK FOR UPDATED CHART MAPS.
RTW
SMALL CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS
THUNDERSTORM PROBABILITIES
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK MAINLY FOR THE COAST OF CALIFORNIA AS THE ATMOSPHERIC RIVER CONTINUES WITH TWO LOW MOVING INLAND FROM THE PACIFIC, POSSIBILITY OF MORE FLOODING AND LANDSLIDES.
WPC FRONT ANALYSIS CHARTS
WPC NATIONAL FORECAST CHARTS
THE FOLLOWING AREAS NEED TO BE READY FOR SEVERE WEATHER STORMS TODAY:
ENHANCED RISK: Atlanta, GA...Birmingham, AL...Montgomery, AL...Columbus, GA...Sandy Springs, GA...
SLIGHT RISK: Charlotte, NC...Nashville, TN...Lexington-Fayette, KY...Knoxville, TN...Huntsville, AL...
MARGINAL RISK: New Orleans, LA...Louisville, KY...Greensboro, NC...Baton Rouge, LA...Winston-Salem, NC...
TORNADO WATCH #0017
FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 17
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
655 AM CST Thu Jan 12 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northern and central Alabama
Central and eastern Mississippi
Exreme southern middle Tennessee
* Effective this Thursday morning and afternoon from 655 AM until
100 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A broken band of pre-frontal storms will increase in
intensity through the day while spreading eastward from Mississippi
into Alabama. The more intense supercells could produce tornadoes,
including a strong tornado or two, along with isolated large hail.
The threat for damaging winds up to 75 mph will increase through the
day as some upscale growth occurs and bowing segments evolve through
the day.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles northeast of Huntsville AL to
45 miles west of Pine Belt MS. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
STORM PREDICTION CENTER CALLING FOR A SLIGHT AND MARGINAL RISK FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:
Atlanta, GA...Birmingham, AL...Montgomery, AL...Columbus, GA...Huntsville, AL...
Charlotte, NC...Nashville, TN...New Orleans, LA...Louisville, KY...Lexington-Fayette, KY...
DAY 2 TORNADO OUTLOOK FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:
2% ...Charlotte, NC...Nashville, TN...Atlanta, GA...Louisville, KY...Lexington-Fayette, KY...
15% ...Atlanta, GA...Birmingham, AL...Montgomery, AL...Columbus, GA...Huntsville, AL...
5% ...Charlotte, NC...Nashville, TN...New Orleans, LA...Louisville, KY...Lexington-Fayette, KY...
LOOKING AND THE POSSIBILITY OF 40S FOR THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA ON SUNDAY MORNING. THE ONLY OUTLIAR MODEL IS THE CANADIAN MODEL WHICH SHOWS 32 DEGREES FOR BROWARD AND A SMALL AREA OF NORTHERN MIAMI DADE. THAT TO ME IS INCORRECT FOR A 12Z MODEL RUN ON SUNDAY.
I SAY IN THE 40S IN THE MORNING SUNDAY 60S-50S AROUND NOON TIME.
RTW
REMEMBER THESE ARE LONG RANGE FORECAST AND ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE. STAY TUNED FOR DAILY UPDATES.
EUROPEAN 2-METER TEMP MODEL
AMERICAN 2-METER TEMP MODEL
THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SEVERE STORMS TO DAY (MARGINAL RISK) FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS PER THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER.
Evansville, IN...Clarksville, TN...Jonesboro, AR...Owensboro, KY...Conway, AR...
DAY 1 HAIL OUTLOOK 5%
SEEMS LIKE MORE COLD AIR FORM THE ARCTIC MOVING SOUTH FOR THIS WEEKEND. MAYBE NOT AS EXTREME AS IT WAS IN DECEMBER 2022 BUT YOU WILL FEEL IT.
REMEMBER THESE ARE LONG RANGE FORECAST AND ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE. STAY TUNED FOR DAILY UPDATES.
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS IN THE FOLLOWING AREAS TODAY:
Los Angeles, CA...San Diego, CA...San Jose, CA...Las Vegas, NV...Long Beach, CA...
DAY 1 TORNADO PROBABILITY 2% FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:
Los Angeles, CA...Long Beach, CA...Fresno, CA...Santa Ana, CA...Anaheim, CA...
DAY 1 DAMAGING WIND PROBABILITY 5% FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:
Los Angeles, CA...San Diego, CA...San Jose, CA...Las Vegas, NV...Long Beach, CA...
DAY 2 SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK MARGINAL RISK FOR THE
FOLLOWING AREAS:
Memphis, TN...Shreveport, LA...Little Rock, AR...Jackson, MS...Tyler, TX...
DAY 2 TORNADO PROBABILITY 2% FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:
Memphis, TN...Shreveport, LA...Little Rock, AR...Tyler, TX...Fort Smith, AR...
DAY 2 DAMAGING WIND PROBABILITY 5% FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:
Memphis, TN...Shreveport, LA...Little Rock, AR...Jackson, MS...Tyler, TX...
