Thursday, February 16, 2023

..DAY 1 SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK ENHANCED RISK..


SEVERE STORMS ON THE MOVE TODAY AS WELL, ENHANCED, SLIGHT AND MARGINAL RISK WITH AN AREA WITH A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE TORNADO RISK.

STAY TUNED TO UPDATES FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER!

AREAS AT FOR SEVERE STORMS TODAY:

ENHANCED RISK: Nashville, TN...Birmingham, AL...Jackson, MS...Huntsville, AL...Clarksville, TN...

SLIGHT RISK: Columbus, OH...Memphis, TN...Cincinnati, OH...Louisville, KY...Lexington-Fayette, KY...

MARGINAL RISK: Indianapolis, IN...New Orleans, LA...Cleveland, OH...Atlanta, GA...Pittsburgh, PA...


DAY 1 TORNADO PROBABILITY AREAS OF CONCERN:

SIGNIFICANT SEVERE: Nashville, TN...Birmingham, AL...Jackson, MS...Huntsville, AL...Murfreesboro, TN...

10% PROBABILITY: Nashville, TN...Birmingham, AL...Jackson, MS...Huntsville, AL...Murfreesboro, TN...

5% PROBABILITY: Memphis, TN...Lexington-Fayette, KY...Montgomery, AL...Mobile, AL...Clarksville, TN...

2% PROBABILITY: New Orleans, LA...Cincinnati, OH...Louisville, KY...Baton Rouge, LA...Dayton, OH...


DAY 1 DAMAGING WIND PROBABILITY AREAS OF CONCERN:

30% PROBABILITY: Nashville, TN...Birmingham, AL...Jackson, MS...Huntsville, AL...Clarksville, TN...

15% PROBABILITY: Columbus, OH...Memphis, TN...Cincinnati, OH...Louisville, KY...Lexington-Fayette, KY...

5% PROBABILITY: Indianapolis, IN...New Orleans, LA...Cleveland, OH...Atlanta, GA...Pittsburgh, PA...


DAY 1 HAIL PROBABILITY AREAS OF CONCERN:

15% PROBABILITY: Hattiesburg, MS...Meridian, MS...Columbus, MS...Pearl, MS...Starkville, MS...

5% PROBABILITY: Memphis, TN...Nashville, TN...Birmingham, AL...Baton Rouge, LA...Montgomery, AL...










Wednesday, February 15, 2023

..TOMORROWS SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK..

 


DAY 2 SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK

TOMORROW'S OUTLOOK STILL LOOKING SEVERE WITH ENHANCED, SLIGHT RISK FOR SOME AREAS.  SEE BELOW AREAS OF CONCERN ISSUED BY STORM PREDICTION CENTER.

CLICK HERE>> FOR STORM PREDICTION CENTER WEBSITE!

THE FOLLOWING RISK AREAS:

ENHANCED RISK: Nashville, TN...Cincinnati, OH...Louisville, KY...Lexington-Fayette, KY...Birmingham, AL...

SLIGHT RISK: Columbus, OH...Memphis, TN...Baton Rouge, LA...Montgomery, AL...Mobile, AL...

Indianapolis, IN...New Orleans, LA...Cleveland, OH...Atlanta, GA...Pittsburgh, PA...


DAY 2 TORNADO PROBABILITY AREAS OF CONCERN:

SIGNIFICANT SEVERE: Birmingham, AL...Tuscaloosa, AL...Hoover, AL...Hattiesburg, MS...Meridian, MS...

10% PROBABILITY: Birmingham, AL...Tuscaloosa, AL...Hoover, AL...Hattiesburg, MS...Meridian, MS...

5% PROBABILITY: Nashville, TN...Cincinnati, OH...Louisville, KY...Lexington-Fayette, KY...Montgomery, AL...

2% PROBABILITY: Columbus, OH...Memphis, TN...New Orleans, LA...Baton Rouge, LA...Akron, OH...


DAY 2 DAMAGING WIND PROBABILITY AREAS OF CONCERN:

30% PROBABILITY: Nashville, TN...Cincinnati, OH...Louisville, KY...Lexington-Fayette, KY...Birmingham, AL...

15% PROBABILITY: Columbus, OH...Memphis, TN...Baton Rouge, LA...Montgomery, AL...Jackson, MS...

5% PROBABILITY: Indianapolis, IN...New Orleans, LA...Cleveland, OH...Atlanta, GA...Pittsburgh, PA...


DAY 2 HAIL PROBABILITY AREAS OF CONCERN:

15% PROBABILITY: Birmingham, AL...Tuscaloosa, AL...Hoover, AL...Hattiesburg, MS...Meridian, MS...

5% PROBABILITY: Nashville, TN...Cincinnati, OH...Louisville, KY...Lexington-Fayette, KY...Baton Rouge, LA...



..TODAY'S SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK ENHANCED, SLIGHT AND MARGINAL RISK..

 


DAY 1 NOW HAS AN ENHANCED, SLIGHT AND MARGINAL RISK.  THERE ARE SOME AREAS WITH A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE RISK FOR TORNADO AND HAIL RISK.  

I WILL POST THE AREAS AT RISK BELOW WITH THE CORRESPONDING STORM PREDICITION CENTER MAPS.

SINCE STORM PREDICITION CENTER UPDATES THEIR INFORMATION OFTEN, THEIR SITE LINK CAN BE FOUND BELOW!

CLICK HERE>> STORM PREDICTION CENTER

AREA'S AT RISK BELOW;

ENHANCED RISK: Memphis, TN...Jackson, TN...Pine Bluff, AR...Bartlett, TN...Southaven, MS...

SLIGHT RISK: Dallas, TX...Fort Worth, TX...Arlington, TX...Plano, TX...Garland, TX...

MARGINAL RISK: Nashville, TN...Jackson, MS...Springfield, MO...Evansville, IN...Beaumont, TX...


DAY 1 TORNADO RISK AREAS BELOW:

SIGNIFICANT SEVERE: Memphis, TN...Pine Bluff, AR...Bartlett, TN...Southaven, MS...Greenville, MS...

10% PROBABILITY: Memphis, TN...Pine Bluff, AR...Bartlett, TN...Southaven, MS...Greenville, MS...

5% PROBABILITY: Shreveport, LA...Little Rock, AR...Clarksville, TN...Fort Smith, AR...Longview, TX...

2% PROBABILITY: Dallas, TX...Fort Worth, TX...Nashville, TN...Arlington, TX...Plano, TX...


DAY 1 DAMAGING WIND AT RISK AREAS BELOW:

30% PROBABILITY: Memphis, TN...Little Rock, AR...Jackson, TN...North Little Rock, AR...Pine Bluff, AR...

15% PROBABILITY: Dallas, TX...Fort Worth, TX...Arlington, TX...Plano, TX...Garland, TX...

5% PROBABILITY: Nashville, TN...Jackson, MS...Springfield, MO...Evansville, IN...Beaumont, TX...


DAY 1 HAIL PROBABILITY AREAS BELOW:

SIGNIFICANT SEVERE: Sherman, TX...Paris, TX...Ardmore, OK...Denison, TX...Gainesville, TX...

15% PROBABILITY: Dallas, TX...Memphis, TN...Fort Worth, TX...Arlington, TX...Plano, TX...

5% PROBABILITY: Nashville, TN...Jackson, MS...Springfield, MO...Evansville, IN...Clarksville, TN...






 

Tuesday, February 14, 2023

..DAYS 2-3 SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK!

 


SEVERE STORMS, TORNADO, DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.  CHECK THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER WEBSITE FOR THE LATEST!

DAY 2 SEVERE STORM TORNADO, DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL OUTLOOK!

THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARE AT RISK:

SLIGHT RISK: Dallas, TX...Memphis, TN...Fort Worth, TX...Arlington, TX...Plano, TX...

MARGINAL RISK: Nashville, TN...Jackson, MS...Waco, TX...Evansville, IN...Lafayette, LA...


DAY 2 TORNADO PROBABILITY

AREAS AT RISK:

5% RISK: Dallas, TX...Memphis, TN...Fort Worth, TX...Arlington, TX...Plano, TX...

2% RISK: Nashville, TN...Jackson, MS...Evansville, IN...Clarksville, TN...Murfreesboro, TN...

DAY 2 DAMAGING WIND OUTLOOK

AREAS AT RISK;

15% RISK: Dallas, TX...Memphis, TN...Fort Worth, TX...Arlington, TX...Plano, TX...

5% RISK: Nashville, TN...Jackson, MS...Waco, TX...Evansville, IN...Lafayette, LA...


DAY 2 HAIL PROBABILITY

AREAS AT RISK:

SIGNIFICANT RISK: Dallas, TX...Fort Worth, TX...Arlington, TX...Plano, TX...Garland, TX...

15% RISK: Dallas, TX...Memphis, TN...Fort Worth, TX...Arlington, TX...Plano, TX...

5%Nashville, TN...Jackson, MS...Waco, TX...Evansville, IN...Clarksville, TN...


DAY 3 SEVERE STORM PROBABILITIES

AREAS AT RISK:

SLIGHT RISK: Indianapolis, IN...Columbus, OH...Nashville, TN...Cleveland, OH...Cincinnati, OH...

MARGINAL RISK: Memphis, TN...New Orleans, LA...Atlanta, GA...Pittsburgh, PA...Toledo, OH...


DAY 3 SEVERE STORM PROBABILITY!

AREAS AT RISK: 

15% PROB: Indianapolis, IN...Columbus, OH...Nashville, TN...Cleveland, OH...Cincinnati, OH...

5% PROB: Memphis, TN...New Orleans, LA...Atlanta, GA...Pittsburgh, PA...Toledo, OH...



Monday, February 13, 2023

..DAY'S 3-4 SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK..

 


DAY'S 3-4 SLIGHT/MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS.  STAY UP TO DATE WITH THE LATEST FOR ANY CHANGES TO THE FORECAST BY SPC.

CLICK HERE >> STORM PREDICTION CENTER.

RTW

DAY 3 AREAS WITH A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS

Memphis, TN...Plano, TX...Garland, TX...Shreveport, LA...Little Rock, AR...

Dallas, TX...Fort Worth, TX...Nashville, TN...Arlington, TX...Irving, TX...


DAY 3 PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS.

AREAS AND RISK:

15% RISK: Memphis, TN...Plano, TX...Garland, TX...Shreveport, LA...Little Rock, AR...

5% RISK: Dallas, TX...Fort Worth, TX...Nashville, TN...Arlington, TX...Irving, TX...


DAY 4 PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS.

AREAS AT RISK:

15% RISK: Columbus, OH...Nashville, TN...Cleveland, OH...Cincinnati, OH...Louisville, KY...


EURO Z500mb, VORTEX, AND WIND


Friday, February 10, 2023

..STORM PREDICTION CENTER UPGRADES DAY 2 STORM OUTLOOK TO A SLIGHT RISK..

 

STORM PREDICTION CENTER

DAY 2 HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE STORM OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA AS A LOW PRESSURE OUT OF THE GULF TRACKS OVER THE AREA ON SATURDAY.  EVERE STORM, GUSTY DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE RISK AREAS.

HERE ARE THE CITIES AT RISK:

SLIGHT RISK: Jacksonville, FL...Tallahassee, FL...Gainesville, FL...Ocala, FL...Lakeside, FL...

MARGINAL RISK: Tampa, FL...St. Petersburg, FL...Clearwater, FL...Spring Hill, FL...Largo, FL...

TORNADO OUTLOOK!

CITIES AT RISK:

5% Jacksonville, FL...Tallahassee, FL...Gainesville, FL...Ocala, FL...Lakeside, FL...

2% Tampa, FL...St. Petersburg, FL...Orlando, FL...Clearwater, FL...Spring Hill, FL...


DAMAGING WIND OUTLOOK!

15% Jacksonville, FL...Tallahassee, FL...Gainesville, FL...Ocala, FL...Lakeside, FL...

5% Tampa, FL...St. Petersburg, FL...Orlando, FL...Clearwater, FL...Spring Hill, FL...





..LOW PRESSURE IN THE GULF WILL TRACK NORTHEAST ACROSS FLORIDA GEORGIA AND THE CAROLINA'S...

 


LOW PRESSURE OUT OF THE GULF WILL PRODUCE A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT AND KICK UP THE WINDS IN THE GULF AND THE ATLANTIC WATERS AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE, GEORGIA AND THE CAROILINA'S.  

THIS LOW WIILL ALSO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS WITH FLOODING FOR A PORTION OF EASTERN GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.  

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST.

THE STORM SYSTEM WILL ALSO PRODUCE MIXED PRECIPITATION, ICE AND SNOW ALONG THE NORTHWEST QUARANT OF THE LOW OVER NORTHEAST ALABAMA THROUGH SOUTHERN NEW CITY BEFORE IT IMERGES OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS.

RTW

FRONT ANALYSIS MAP


NATIONAL FORECAST CHARTS

EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK

STRONG WIND GUST


..DAY 1 SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK.. ..MARGINAL RISK FOR TODAY!..

 


TODAY NORTHERN FLORIDA HAS A MARGINAL RISK FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS AND DAMAGING WINDS.

ALWAYS STAY UP TO DATE WITH SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK BY VISITING THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER!

MARGINAL RISK AREAS BELOW;

Jacksonville, FL...Tallahassee, FL...Gainesville, FL...Valdosta, GA...Lakeside, FL...


TORNADO OUTLOOK!

2% RISK AREAS BELOW:

Jacksonville, FL...Tallahassee, FL...Gainesville, FL...Valdosta, GA...Lakeside, FL...

DAMAGING WIND OUTLOOK!

5% RISK AREAS BELOW:

Jacksonville, FL...Tallahassee, FL...Savannah, GA...Gainesville, FL...Valdosta, GA...