Tuesday, September 17, 2024
..TROPICAL OUTLOOK SEPT. 17, 2024.. ..MONITORING THE WEST CARIBBEAN INTO NEXT WEEK.. ..STAY TUNED!..
Monday, September 16, 2024
..TROPICAL OUTLOOK SEPT 16, 2024..
This will be a quick tropical update reviewing ensemble models. Please note that Ensemble is still hinting at development coming out of the northwest Caribbean as early as next week. Not sure if Florida will be affected, but since we will be closer to the first week of October, we have to focus our attention on that area of the Caribbean. I will keep you posted.
RTW
..POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE EIGHT..
...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE SPREADING OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... | |||||||
11:00 AM EDT Mon Sep 16 Location: 32.9°N 78.3°W Moving: NNW at 5 mph Min pressure: 1005 mb Max sustained: 50 mph |
Sunday, September 15, 2024
..POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE EIGHT SEPT 15, 2024..
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE EIGHT 11:00 PM AST Sun Sep 15 Location: 19.0°N 46.8°W Moving: W at 7 mph Min pressure: 1007 mb Max sustained: 30 mph |
Saturday, September 14, 2024
..TROPICAL OUTLOOK SEPT 14, 2024..
...GORDON CONTINUES WESTWARD... | |||||||
11:00 AM AST Sat Sep 14 Location: 20.1°N 41.7°W Moving: W at 9 mph Min pressure: 1004 mb Max sustained: 45 mph |
000 ABNT20 KNHC 141724 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sat Sep 14 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Gordon, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean. Offshore the Southeastern U.S.: A non-tropical area of low pressure is expected to form in the next day or so along a frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern U.S. coastline. The system could gradually acquire subtropical or tropical characteristics thereafter over the warm waters of the Gulf Stream, and a subtropical or tropical depression or storm could form in the next couple of days while the system moves generally northwestward toward the coast. Additional information on this system can be found in products issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast Office and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Kelly/Mahoney
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432 ACCA62 KNHC 141725 TWOSAT Perspectiva sobre las Condiciones del Tiempo en el Trópico Centro Nacional de Huracanes del SNM Miami FL 200 PM EDT sábado 14 de septiembre de 2024 Para el Atlántico Norte...Mar Caribe y el Golfo de México: Sistemas Activos: El Centro Nacional de Huracanes está emitiendo advertencias sobre la Tormenta Tropical Gordon, ubicada sobre el Océano Atlántico tropical central. Mar adentro el Sureste de los Estados Unidos: Se espera que se forme un área no tropical de baja presión en el próximo día más o menos a lo largo de un límite frontal a unos pocos cientos de millas de la costa sureste de los Estados Unidos. El sistema podría adquirir gradualmente características subtropicales o tropicales a partir de entonces sobre las aguas cálidas de la Corriente del Golfo, y una depresión o tormenta subtropical o tropical podría formarse en los próximos dos días mientras el sistema se mueve generalmente hacia el noroeste hacia la costa. Se puede encontrar información adicional sobre este sistema en productos emitidos por su Oficina de Pronóstico del Servicio Nacional de Meteorología local y los Pronósticos de Alta Mar emitidos por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorología. * Probabilidad de formación hasta 48 horas...medio...40 por ciento. * Probabilidad de formación hasta 7 días...medio...50 por ciento. && Los pronósticos de alta mar emitidos por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorología se pueden encontrar bajo el encabezado de AWIPS NFDHSFAT1, el encabezado de la OMM FZNT01 KWBC, y en línea en ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Pronosticador Kelly/Mahoney *** Este producto ha sido procesado automáticamente utilizando un programa de traducción y puede contener omisiones y errores. El Servicio Nacional de Meteorología no puede garantizar la precisión del texto convertido. De haber alguna duda, el texto en inglés es siempre la versión autorizada. ***
Well as we come to the end of September and move into early October we focus our attention on the southern and northwest Caribbean and Southern Gulf. GEFS ensemble indicates possible development. Florida monitors Caribbean as October storms tend to get pulled north by passing cold fronts and then northeast over Florida. This occurred in October of 2005 with Wilma a late October Hurricane.