Thursday, February 23, 2017

EL Niño SEEMS TO BE MAKING A COME BACK!

Latest Sea Surface temperatures over the Pacific suggest that waters are warming.  Could this mean that EL Niño could be making a come back, and what will this means for this hurricane season? 

Well what this means is that the vertical upper level winds will increase from west to east across the Atlantic against the easterly trade wind currents that tropical waves travel on to cross the Atlantic from the African coast.  This all depends if in deed ENSO does return for the up coming season.

These vertical winds would shear the coldest thunderstorms cloud tops causing warming of the clouds and a disruption of tropical cyclone formation.  This would reduce the amount of storms developing in the Atlantic to a below average season.  

A good example of the vertical shear affecting cloud structure is, think of a sitting train from the old days with no wind on a clear day.  The smoke of that trains smoke stack would go straight up.  This is how thunderstorms accumulate around a low pressure area to form a tropical cyclone.  Now if that train began to move forward, the smoke would be blown behind the train.  That is the same principle of vertical westerly wind shear blowing against towering clouds around a tropical disturbance.  

This is why at times when a tropical storm is developing but is moving to fast, like 20 to 25 mph forward speed, it has a hard time keeping its cloud structure intact.  The coldest cloud tops which are the strongest storm clouds get blown behind the tropical cyclone causing the cold clouds to warm and weakening the thunderstorms. So this gives you an idea of what occurs.

However, all it takes is one storm to mess up your day.  A good example of that was Hurricane Andrew that developed during an EL Niño year.  Regardless of this you always need to be ready for any type of disaster, so always have a plan of action, and have a kit ready in case something occurs in your area.


RTW





LATEST SATELLITE/ RADAR IMAGERY FROM THIS MORNING

Good morning!

Satellite imagery from this morning shows where the low and frontal boundary and rain is located.  clouds and rains are off shore.

Water vapor shows the dry air in the brown colors moving closer to the state of Florida the start of the weekend should be nice here in south. 

Florida I woke up to 63° this morning a nice start to the morning.  You all have a blessed day!

RTW
Visible Satellite 
(Actual cloud picture from space as sun reflects light off of clouds back to satellite)





Wednesday, February 22, 2017

UPDATED MIAMI AND VICINITY FORECAST



Tonight Feb 22, 2017
Mostly cloudy with showers likely.  Lows around 63°F.  South wind to 8 MPH. Chance of rain 70 percent.

Thursday Feb 23
Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the day:  Highs around 79°F.  West wind to 11 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Partly Cloudy during the night: Lows around 64°F.  West wind to 10 MPH.

Friday Feb 24
Mostly Sunny during the day:  Highs around 82°F.  Northwest wind to 10 MPH.

Partly Cloudy during the night:  Lows around 66°F.  North northeast wind to 7 MPH.

Saturday Feb 25
Partly Cloudy during the day: Partly cloudy. Highs around 82°F. North northwest wind to 5 MPH.

Mostly Clear during the night:  Lows around 64°F.  South wind to 10 MPH.

Sunday Feb 26
Mostly Sunny during the day:  Highs around 81°F.  North wind to 13 MPH, gusting to 18 MPH.

Partly Cloudy during the night:  Lows around 66°F.  Northeast wind to 10 MPH, gusting to 16 MPH.

Monday Feb 27
Partly Cloudy during the day:  Highs around 81°F.  East wind 10 to 15 MPH.

Partly Cloudy during the night:  Lows around 68°F.  East wind to 13 MPH.

Tuesday Feb 28
Partly Cloudy during the day:  Highs around 81°F.  East wind 11 to 16 MPH.

Clear during the night:  Lows around 73°F.  East wind to 14 MPH.






Local Radar

UPDATED THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK

53m53 minutes ago
Today's Updated Thunderstorm Outlook.


THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK

1h1 hour ago
Tomorrow's Severe Thunderstorm Outlook.


SOME FLOODING GOING ON IN THE LOWER KEYS THERE IS A FLOOD ADVISORY UP

18m18 minutes ago
FLOOD ADVISORY for Lower Keys until 3:15 PM Some areas have picked up more than 2.5" of rain.


HEAVY SHOWERS MOVING OVER THE STATE OF FLORIDA

Radar shows heavy showers in the (RED) color moving over Miami-Dade and Broward and more numerous near Lake Okeechobee and north of Palm Bay.  

Use caution if out driving in one of these cells, headlights on, slow down and keep your distance!

RTW


 MIAMI RADAR AND MELBOURNE RADAR BELOW Local Radar Local Radar