Saturday, October 20, 2018
TROPICAL UPDATE OCT 20, 2018...0520 PM EDT
TROPICAL WAVES:
1. A TROPICAL WAVE BETWEEN 55° AND 50° WEST IS NOT SHOWING ANY SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AND IT TRACKS IN THE LOWER LATITUDES.
2. A TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 82° AND 80° WEST IS ALSO NOT SHOWING ANY SIGNS OF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT.
ELSE WHERE IN THE TROPICS ALL REMAINS QUIET...RTW
Friday, October 19, 2018
TROPICAL UPDATE OCT 19, 2018...1046 AM EDT
Tropical Waves:
1. A wave in the Central Atlantic has split in two. It seems that the strong west southwesterly shear has caused the northern axis of this wave to separate and now a portion of the wave has become a tough. The strong wind shear has also tilted what is left of this wave southwest to northeast. Development is not expected at this time.
2. A Caribbean wave is also being affected by upper level shear development not expected at this time.
3. This wave over the Southern Yucatan and partly over the east Pacific has been absorbed by a New Tropical Depression 3-E.
Tropical Cyclone formation in the Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico is not expect during the next 5 days...RTW
Thursday, October 18, 2018
TROPICAL UPDATE OCT 18, 2018... 1037 AM EDT
There are three tropical waves across the Atlantic and Caribbean, but none of them are showing signs of development at this time. Westerly shear is preventing formation for now...RTW
Wednesday, October 17, 2018
TROPICAL OUTLOOK OCT 17, 2018...1111AM EDT
..TROPICAL WAVES... 1. An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 26W/27W from 15N southward. Isolated moderate rainshowers cover the area that is from 04N to 16N between Africa and 30W. 2. A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 62W from 21N southward. It is moving through the area of the islands of the eastern Caribbean Sea. Widely scattered moderate to isolated strong rainshowers cover the Atlantic Ocean and the Caribbean Sea from 08N to 21N between 50W and 63W. 3. A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 78W from 20N and SE Cuba southward. Broad upper level cyclonic wind flow also is in the area. Isolated moderate to locally strong rainshowers are from the Bahamas and the Straits of Florida southward from 70W westward...
Courtesy of the National Hurricane Center https://www.nhc.noaa.govThere is nothing developing in the tropics at this time. All remains quiet...RTW
Tuesday, October 16, 2018
ATLANTIC SATELLITE REVIEW OCT 16, 2018...1235 PM EDT
An Area of showers and storms associated with a tropical wave is moving through an area of strong southwesterly upper level wind shear.
The tropics are relatively quiet let's hope it stays this way the rest of Oct and Nov.
RTW
The tropics are relatively quiet let's hope it stays this way the rest of Oct and Nov.
RTW
TROPICAL OUTLOOK OCT 16, 2018...0944 PM EDT
Storm investigation 94L continues it's westward track along the Northwest Hondrian coast.
This system remains a rain and flood threat for Central America.
This system will move inland without any development in the Caribbean. Then as it merges off the southwest coast of Central America and into the East Pacific where it may develop into a tropical cyclone as it tracks westward.
Else where the tropics remain quiet!
Ralph's Tropical Weather (RTW)
This system remains a rain and flood threat for Central America.
This system will move inland without any development in the Caribbean. Then as it merges off the southwest coast of Central America and into the East Pacific where it may develop into a tropical cyclone as it tracks westward.
Else where the tropics remain quiet!
Ralph's Tropical Weather (RTW)
Monday, October 15, 2018
TROPICAL UPDATE OCT 15, 2018...0419 PM EDT
Invest 94L is not organized. The low is off shore the northern
Nicaragua and the thunderstorms are displace to the southeast of the center. The proximity to land will prevent tropical cyclone formation. NHC is still giving this system a 40% chance within 48 hrs, and within five days.
Heavy rains will produce mudslides and flash floods over this region as it tracks westward over Honduras...RTW
Nicaragua and the thunderstorms are displace to the southeast of the center. The proximity to land will prevent tropical cyclone formation. NHC is still giving this system a 40% chance within 48 hrs, and within five days.
Heavy rains will produce mudslides and flash floods over this region as it tracks westward over Honduras...RTW
TROPICAL OUTLOOK OCT 15, 2018...1104 AM EDT
A broad low pressure in the South Caribbean is producing showers and storms east of northeast Nicaragua.
This low is forecast to track west over the northern coast of Nicaragua and Honduras and could become a depression before moving onshore. NHC is giving this system a 40% chance within 48 hrs and a 40% chance with 5-days.
This system is a flash flooding potential for Nicaragua and Honduras.
Else where there are a few areas of showers and storms in the Atlantic but upper level winds are unfavorable for development.
RTW
This low is forecast to track west over the northern coast of Nicaragua and Honduras and could become a depression before moving onshore. NHC is giving this system a 40% chance within 48 hrs and a 40% chance with 5-days.
This system is a flash flooding potential for Nicaragua and Honduras.
Else where there are a few areas of showers and storms in the Atlantic but upper level winds are unfavorable for development.
RTW
Sunday, October 14, 2018
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OCT 14, 2018...1052 PM EDT
NHC is monitoring the south Caribbean for tropical cyclone formation. The system has a 20% chance within 48 hrs and 20% within 5-days.
Else the the tropics are quiet...RTW
TROPICAL OUTLOOK OCT 14, 2018...O537 AM EDT
I am monitoring a tropical over the Central Atlantic that is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
This area has a slight chance for development as it tracks westward between 10-15 mph.
As this system approaches the Lesser Antilles upper level conditions becomes unfavorable and this system dissapates.
Note none of the models suggest significant development at this time.
NHC is giving this wave a LOW 10% chance for development within 48 hrs and within 5 days.
Ralph's Tropical Weather (RTW)
Saturday, October 13, 2018
TROPICAL UPDATE OCT 13, 2018...0258 PM EDT
LESLIE ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG TO PORTUGAL COAST AS A HURRICANE.
ELSE WHERE IN THE TROPICS AN AREA OF HEAVY RAINS AND STORMS OVER THE EAST CARIBBEAN IS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS AND POSSIBLE FLOODS OVER PUERTO RICO. THERE IS ANOTHER AREA OF SHOWERS AND STORMS BETWEEN 40°-30° WEST THAT I WILL MONITOR AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD...RTW
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