ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Thu May 23 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: 1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure over Central America have become less organized since yesterday. Any development of this system during the next few days should be slow to occur while the large circulation interacts with land. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are likely to continue over portions of Central America as this system remains nearly stationary through the weekend. These rains could cause flash flooding and mudslides in areas of mountainous terrain. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. Forecaster Latto/Brown
National Hurricane Center
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Thu May 23 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: 1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms along portions of the west coast of Central America and the far eastern North Pacific are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Earlier satellite wind data indicated that the large circulation has moved inland over Central America and the chance for development has decreased. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are likely to continue over portions of Central America as this system remains nearly stationary during the next few days. These rains could cause flash flooding and mudslides in areas of mountainous terrain. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Forecaster Latto/Brown
National Hurricane Center
704 WTNT31 KNHC 211434 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Subtropical Depression Andrea Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012019 1100 AM AST Tue May 21 2019 ...ANDREA WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION... ...EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE SOON... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.8N 69.2W ABOUT 280 MI...450 KM WSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Subtropical Depression Andrea was located near latitude 30.8 North, longitude 69.2 West. The depression is moving toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h), and a turn toward the northeast and east is expected tonight. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast, and Andrea is expected to degenerate into a remnant low by this evening. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Pasch
000 ABNT20 KNHC 201730 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 130 PM EDT Mon May 20 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of Bermuda are showing signs of organization. Although recent satellite wind data suggest that the system currently lacks a well-defined center of circulation, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for the formation of a short-lived subtropical or tropical cyclone later today or tonight. Conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for further development by late Tuesday, and the disturbance is expected to merge with a cold front on Wednesday. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is currently en route to investigate the disturbance. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued by 8 PM EDT today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
