EYES ON THE TROPICS 0301 PM EDT AUG 22, 2017

1. INVEST92L...Models continue to suggest weak development off the southeast coast of Florida and a track toward the northwest then northward or northeast.  Some models tracks this system across Southern Florida and  the Gulf then back across Florida and a track toward the northeast, and possibly strengthen into a tropical cyclone east of the eastern seaboard.  We will just have to wait and see if this system does mature into a tropical entity. Showers and storms are accumulating this afternoon over the Bahamas and are tracking westward. As this system attempts to get its act together it will more than likely produce a wet environment over Southern Florida.  So the next few days are looking very wet.  You can't rule out localized flooding as this system tracks slowly northwest...RTW

2. INVEST 91L HARVEY continues to organize and now has a high chance for development 90% within 48 hrs. and a 100% within 5-days.  Harvey is a threat for Texas and possibly Louisiana.  models are all over the place but Texas seems to be Harvey's prime target for now...RTW  http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net