Wednesday, June 27, 2018

AFTERNOON TROPICAL OUTLOOK JUNE 27, 2018... 0321 PM EDT

National Hurricane Center
...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave has an axis from 01N to 20N along 27W. Scattered
moderate and isolated strong convection is observed from 04N-10N 
between 25W-32W. While no surface observations were in the 
vicinity of the wave, visible satellite imagery suggests that 
either a distinct surface trough or broad low is present. A
distinct maximum in total precipitable water (TPW) exists along
and east of the wave's axis. Expect a fresh northeast to east to 
southeast wind shift along the wave axis as it progresses westward
across the tropical Atlantic.

A tropical wave extends its axis along 50W from 01N to 19N, and 
is estimated to be progressing west at 15-20 kt. No significant 
convection is related to this wave at this time. The wave also has
negligible surface signature, though it is well-present in the 
700 mb model diagnostics and TPW.

A tropical wave is analyzed across the central Caribbean and 
South America along 78W from 02N to 19N, and is moving west about
15-20 kt. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection exists
south of 13N within 300 nm west of the wave's axis. The wave has 
negligible surface signature and cannot be easily identified in 
TPW, though it is present in the 700 mb model diagnostics

A tropical wave is progressing west through Central America and 
is currently analyzed with axis along 90W and extends south from 
22N into the east Pacific near 09N. Scattered moderate and
isolated strong convection is occurring east of the wave axis over
portions of Central America. The wave does have some surface
circulation as well as being apparent in the TPW imagery. This 
tropical wave has the potential to develop into an east Pacific 
tropical cyclone later this week.
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A Strong surge of moisture Meso type thunderstorm, more than likely
associated with a new tropical wave, is emerging off the coast of
Africa. This system is pushing more African Dust westward over the
Atlantic... RTW 


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