BERYL AND TD THREE UPDATE JULY 7, 2018

BERYL

000
WTNT32 KNHC 072032
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Beryl Advisory Number  10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL022018
500 PM AST Sat Jul 07 2018

...BERYL WEAKENING WHILE ACCELERATING TOWARD THE LESSER ANTILLES...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.7N 52.7W
ABOUT 605 MI...975 KM ESE OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of France has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for
Guadeloupe.

The government of St. Maarten has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for
St. Maarten.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Dominica
* Guadeloupe

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Barbados
* St. Lucia
* Martinique, St. Martin, and St. Barthelemy
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.

Interests elsewhere in the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands,
Puerto Rico, and the Dominican Republic should monitor the progress
of Beryl.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Beryl was
located near latitude 12.7 North, longitude 52.7 West.  Beryl is
moving faster toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h).  A
west-northwestward motion with an additional increase in forward
speed is expected during the next few days.  On the forecast track,
the center of Beryl will approach the Lesser Antilles through
Sunday, cross the island chain Sunday night, and move south of the
Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be near 50 mph (85 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional weakening is forecast during the
next 48 hours, and Beryl is likely to weaken to a tropical
depression after moving across the Lesser Antilles.  The system
could degenerate into an open trough by the time it reaches the
central Caribbean Sea and Hispaniola Monday night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected in Dominica and
Guadeloupe Sunday night.  Tropical storm conditions are possible in
the watch areas of the Lesser Antilles by late Sunday or Monday.

RAINFALL:  Beryl is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
2 to 4 inches through Monday across the southern Leeward and
northern Windward Islands.  Across the remainder of the Leeward and
Windward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico, rainfall
amounts of 1 to 2 inches with locally higher amounts are expected.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Berg https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

TD THREE

000
WTNT33 KNHC 072031
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Three Advisory Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032018
500 PM EDT Sat Jul 07 2018

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
TONIGHT OR SUNDAY...
...LITTLE MOVEMENT IS ANTICIPATED...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.9N 75.3W
ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM S OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1014 MB...29.95 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests along the coast of North Carolina should monitor the
progress of this system.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Three
was located near latitude 32.9 North, longitude 75.3 West. The
depression is stationary and little motion is expected during the
next 2 or 3 days. This motion will keep the cyclone meandering well
off the North Carolina coast.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts. The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm
tonight or Sunday.

The minimum central pressure estimated from earlier reconnaissance
data is 1014 mb (29.95 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by the depression are expected to increase
and affect portions of the coasts of North Carolina and the
mid-Atlantic states this weekend.  These swells could cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/