BERYL AND TD THREE UPDATE 1100 PM EDT JULY 7, 2018

BERYL

000
WTNT32 KNHC 080233
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Beryl Advisory Number  11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL022018
1100 PM AST Sat Jul 07 2018

...BERYL CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
TOWARD THE LESSER ANTILLES...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.1N 54.3W
ABOUT 495 MI...795 KM ESE OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Dominica
* Guadeloupe

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Barbados
* St. Lucia
* Martinique, St. Martin, and St. Barthelemy
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.

Interests elsewhere in the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands,
Puerto Rico, and the Dominican Republic should monitor the progress
of Beryl.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Beryl was
located near latitude 13.1 North, longitude 54.3 West.  Beryl is
moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph (30 km/h) and this
motion with an increase in forward speed is expected during the next
couple of days.  On the forecast track, the center of Beryl will
approach the Lesser Antilles through Sunday, cross the island chain
Sunday night, and move south of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico
on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Additional weakening is forecast during the next 48
hours, and Beryl is likely to weaken to a tropical depression after
moving across the Lesser Antilles.  The system is then expected to
degenerate into a tropical wave as it moves across the eastern and
central Caribbean Sea on Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected in Dominica and
Guadeloupe Sunday night.  Tropical storm conditions are possible in
the watch areas of the Lesser Antilles by late Sunday or Monday.

RAINFALL:  Beryl is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
1 to 3 inches through Monday across the southern Leeward and
northern Windward Islands.  Across Puerto Rico, rainfall amounts of
1 to 4 inches are expected.  Across the remainder of the Leeward
and Windward Islands and the Virgin Islands, rainfall amounts of
1 to 2 inches are expected, with locally higher amounts possible.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?epac

ralphstropicalweather.com

TD THREE

 000
WTNT33 KNHC 080234
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Three Advisory Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032018
1100 PM EDT Sat Jul 07 2018

...DEPRESSION MEANDERING OFF THE CAROLINA COASTLINE...
...HURRICANE HUNTERS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE DEPRESSION
OVERNIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.9N 75.1W
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM S OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1014 MB...29.95 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests along the coast of North Carolina should monitor the
progress of this system.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Three
was located near latitude 32.9 North, longitude 75.1 West.  The
depression is stationary and a very slow southeastward motion is
forecast during the next couple of days.  A faster northeastward
motion is expected to begin on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm overnight or
Sunday with additional strengthening expected after that.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1014 mb (29.95 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by the depression are expected to increase
and affect portions of the coasts of North Carolina and the
mid-Atlantic states into early next week.  These swells could cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.

WIND:  Winds to gale force not directly associated with the
depression are expected along the North Carolina coast and over
Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds during the next day or so.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/