HURRICANE BERYL MAY HOLD HURRICANE STATUS BEFORE REACHING LESSER ANTILLES JUL 6, 2018... 1120 AM EDT

National Hurricane Center

000
WTNT32 KNHC 061435
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Beryl Advisory Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL022018
1100 AM AST Fri Jul 06 2018

...BRAZEN BERYL A LITTLE STRONGER...
...NOW FORECAST TO STILL BE A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE LESSER
ANTILLES...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.7N 46.5W
ABOUT 1045 MI...1685 KM ESE OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of
Beryl, as hurricane watches could be needed for some of the islands
by tonight.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Beryl was located
near latitude 10.7 North, longitude 46.5 West.  Beryl is moving
toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h).  A faster westward to
west-northwestward motion is expected to begin over the weekend and
continue through early next week.  On the forecast track, the
center of Beryl will approach the Lesser Antilles over the weekend
and cross the island chain late Sunday or Monday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 80 mph (130 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is forecast during the
next couple of days, and Beryl is expected to still be a hurricane
when it reaches the Lesser Antilles late Sunday or Monday.
Weakening is expected once Beryl reaches the eastern Caribbean
Sea on Monday, but the system may not degenerate into an open trough
until it reaches the vicinity of Hispaniola and the central
Caribbean Sea.

Beryl is a compact hurricane.  Hurricane-force winds extend outward
up to 10 miles (20 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force
winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Berg https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

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Looks like the Islands may experience hurricane force winds from tiny

Beryl.  Forecast intensity are now showing possibly a cat 2 or 1 passing

over the Leeward.  There after it looks like Beryl will drop down

intensity to a tropical storm as it heads toward Dominican. Wind shear

in the Central Caribbean is supposed to be strong but as we well know

weather pattern changes quickly so will watch closely...RTW

ralphstropicalweather.com