TROPICAL STORM BERYL JULY 5, 2018... 1100 PM EDT

National Hurricane Center

WTNT32 KNHC 060231
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Beryl Advisory Number   3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL022018
1100 PM AST Thu Jul 05 2018

...TINY BERYL CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.4N 44.0W
ABOUT 1215 MI...1955 KM ESE OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Beryl was
located near latitude 10.4 North, longitude 44.0 West. Beryl is
moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general
motion should continue through tonight.  A fast westward to
west-northwestward motion is expected through the weekend.  On the
forecast track, the center of Beryl will remain east of the Lesser
Antilles through Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is forecast, and Beryl
could become a hurricane on Friday.  Beryl is forecast to degenerate
into a strong open trough just east of the Lesser Antilles over the
weekend.

Beryl is a tiny tropical storm. Tropical-storm-force winds only
extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

-------------------------------------------------------------------

Tropical storm beryl continues to become better organized and we

could see a cat 1 hurricane on Friday.  However this hurricane status

should be short lived as Beryl encounters strong wind shear east of

the Lesser Antilles and even stronger wind shear in the eastern and

central Caribbean.  Beryl will bring tropical storm conditions to the

Lesser Antilles in the coming days...RTW

 00z Guidance Model Run

H-Model Combo Run (RTW)

 CMC Model Combo Run (RTW)

UKMET Model Combo Run

 Late Model Run

 GFS Ensemble