HURRICANE FLORENCE WEAKENS SO MORE EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN AGAIN SEPT 6, 2018...1108 AM EDT

FLORENCE UPDATE BY NHC

636 
WTNT31 KNHC 061438
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Hurricane Florence Advisory Number  29
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062018
1100 AM AST Thu Sep 06 2018

...FLORENCE WEAKENS FURTHER...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.6N 48.6W
ABOUT 1030 MI...1660 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 1115 MI...1795 KM ESE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Florence was
located near latitude 24.6 North, longitude 48.6 West.  Florence is
moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h).  A turn toward
the west-northwest and west with a decrease in forward speed is
expected through Saturday.  Florence may begin to move faster toward
the west-northwest over the western Atlantic early next week.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 105 mph (165 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional weakening is forecast during the
next day or two.  However, Florence is expected to remain a
hurricane and likely reintensify over the weekend.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles
(150 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 975 mb (28.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by Florence will begin to affect Bermuda on
Friday and will reach portions of the U.S. East Coast over the
weekend.  These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and
rip current conditions.  Please consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Berg

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ 

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 https://ralphstropicalweather.com/

Not very comforting when you see such a wide spread in a model run. This is
like betting on the lottery.  Eastern Seaboard from New England to Florida 
continue to monitor the progress of Florence and be hurricane ready!  RTW

 A most definite westward trend seems like high pressure would be the cause of
this!

NHC model also more to the left of previous forecast tracks.  UKMET is
more consistent on a westward track. 

Florence forecast to regain cat 3 status!