Thursday, September 20, 2018

TROPICAL WEATHER UPDATE SEPT 20, 2018

Still monitoring two systems that NHC has as invest 97L and 98L.

97L has a LOW chance 20% within 48 hrs and within 5-days.  This system is showing signs of development as we speak.  Thunderstorm activity has increased and the system seems to have a nice circulation associated with it.

This system if it does develop tropically it will more than likely be short lived as it enters the Caribbean.

As for 98L that system is a fish storm will remain out over the north Atlantic until a cold front sweeps it northeast.

GFS model from this morning may have gone bonkers suggesting a tropical cyclone development over the southern Caribbean and a track over Cuba and landfall over southern Florida.

Although this is a hot area during the latter half of September and October, I have to see a consistent model run by run showing the same scenario.  I will monitor that as well but for now it remains questionable...RTW









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