Friday, October 5, 2018

TROPICAL UPDATE OCT 5, 2018... 1111 AM EDT


Leslie still stuck in a blocked environment.  Leslie swells will now be reaching as far as the Eastern seaboard. 




Caribbean disturbance gradually becoming better organized and could become a depression or tropical storm this weekend or early next week.

Model tracks flip flopping,  now a track northward.  These tracks will continue doing this so they remain questionable.

High pressure in the Atlantic over a portion of Florida helps to slowly steer this system around the peripheral of he high pressure ridge.  Leslie in the Atlantic sandwiched between high pressure is not allowing Bermuda high to move much Eastward so this keeps a buffer over a portion of Florida. 

However, on a track like models suggest at this time, the cyclone would make landfall between Louisiana and the Florida Panhandle.  That seems to have been the tracks for Gulf storms this season. 

I say anyone who lives from Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle should continue to monitor the progress of this disturbance...RTW





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