Friday, October 5, 2018

WEATHER UPDATE INVEST 91L OCT 5, 2018...0339 PM EDT


STORM INVESTIGATION 91L
Disturbance in the Caribbean probabilities are now Medium chance 40% within 48 hours and a High chance 70% within 5 days.

Latest satellite shows less organization than earlier, lack of colder cloud tops. This is mainly due to the proximity to land and a West-Southwest wind shear over the disturbance.

As this disturbance begins to track away from the land area and moves over northwest Caribbean waters some organization could begin.  As it moves over the southern Gulf waters the sea surface temps are warmer and wind shear will be less.

Depending on the track and evolution of this system, will determine how much of the weather associated with this system will affect the Florida Keys.

Interest in the Yucatan, Western Cuba, Florida Keys, Louisiana to the Florida Big Bend should closely monitor the progress of Storm Invest 91L over the weekend and coming week...RTW













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