Invest 91L is finally beginning to track northwestward. Now that this system is no longer stationary it will begin to move into warmer waters and some organization may or may not begin. That will more that likely be short lived if the system moves inland and hugs the coast. However, as of the past few model run from Sunday to this morning they have been trending more off shore than they were on Saturday and Friday. If this indeed occurs then the low will have a better chance for tropical cyclone formation. Regardless of organization or not this will be a rain producer so some flooding rains can be expected as it tracks up the coast.
Both the 06z and 12z intensity models trend toward a tropical storm at most. Those who live from the Mexico Texas border to Louisiana should closely monitor the progress of this system.
RTW
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