Well after reviewing other models I see that some other models are now suggesting development as well. The hurricane center is now giving this system a medium 40% chance within 5-days. We are looking possible landfall anywhere from east Louisiana to the Florida Pan Handle.
Tuesday morning I will resume regular tropical updates, but for now I will continue doing brief updates.
RTW
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Jul 7 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A trough of low pressure over the southeastern United States is forecast to move southward toward the northeastern Gulf of Mexico, where a broad low pressure area will likely form in a few days. Thereafter, upper-level winds support some development of this system while it meanders near the northeastern Gulf of Mexico coast through Friday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Forecaster Blake
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