TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK JULY 22, 2019

Tropical Weather Outlook
July 22, 2019...1231 PM EDT
Ralph's Tropical Weather (RTW)

Tropical Waves
1.  A westward moving tropical wave near 34°-33° West has convection (thunderstorms) along the southern axis of this wave.  This is mainly due to the interaction with the ITCZ (inter-tropical convergence zone).

2.  A westward moving tropical wave near 47°-46° West lacking convection (thunderstorm) activity.

3.  A westward moving tropical wave near 57°-56° West has a small cluster of showers ahead of the waves axis east of the Lesser Antilles.

4.  A westward moving tropical wave near 67°-66° West is lacking convection at this time.

5.  A westward moving tropical wave near 85°-84° West has strong showers and storms mainly along on both sides of the waves axis in the East Pacific.  This is an interaction with the monsoonal trough in this area.  This wave will be soon added to the East Pacific Outlook and removed from the Atlantic Outlook.

Storm Investigation 94L ....VIEW NEW UPDATE ON BLOG...0122 PM EDT 
6.  A trough of low pressure over the western Bahamas is producing disorganized showers and storms.  This system has a LOW chance 30% within 48 hrs and within 5-days.  It could become a depression before upper level winds invade the area by a weak frontal boundary that is slowly dropping southeast.  This system will be forced to re-curve north and northeast becoming elongated and merging with the frontal boundary.

RTW

STORM INVEST 94L

12z Guidance Model run