TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK JULY 23, 2019

Tropical Weather Outlook
July 23, 2019...1234 PM EDT
Ralph's Tropical Weather (RTW)

1.  A westward moving tropical wave near 42°-41° West has some convection (Showers and Storms) on both sides of the waves axis. This is mainly due to the interaction between the ITCZ  (Inter-tropical Convergence Zone) and the wave.

2.  A westward moving tropical wave near 54°-52° has no convection (showers or storms) associated with this waves axis.

3.  A westward moving tropical wave near 65°-63° West has some showers over the Caribbean along the waves axis and more showers and storms over land South America along the southern axis of the wave.

4.  A westward moving tropical wave near 73°-70° West has some showers and storms over South America along the southern axis of the wave.

5.  The National Hurricane Center is monitoring the northern Gulf of Mexico for sub-tropical or tropical cyclone formation by Thursday.  Non of the models are suggesting development at this time.

Made correction added new map with correct probability for 48 hrs 0% not 20%

National Hurricane Center

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Jul 23 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Three, located offshore of the coast of east-central
Florida.

1. A non-tropical low pressure area could form over the northern Gulf
of Mexico by late Wednesday or Thursday.  Thereafter, conditions
could become marginally conducive for some subtropical or tropical
development as it moves slowly northeastward through the end of the
week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Three are issued under WMO
header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Three are issued under
WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.

Forecaster Latto/Brown