STORM INVESTIGATION 96L AUG 3, 2019

Storm Investigation 96L
Aug 3, 2019...0926 AM EDT
Ralph's Tropical Weather- RTW

96L still trying to develop and it still has a slight chance for development before it runs into some moderate upper level shear.

There is dry air traveling with this wave to the northwest of the wave northern axis which has been keeping it from developing.

So some development is possible as it passes to the north of the Leeward islands and then further strengthening as it recurves to the northeast over the open Atlantic.


National Hurricane Center

000
ABNT20 KNHC 031136
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Aug 3 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles
east-southeast of the Lesser Antilles is producing a large but
disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms. Only gradual
development of this system is expected for the next few days while
it moves west-northwestward across the northern Lesser Antilles.
Subsequently, some slight additional development is possible by the
middle of next week while the disturbance moves northwestward, north
of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky