STORM INVESTIGATION 96L TROPICAL UPDATE AUG 1, 2019

STORM INVESTIGATION 96L
TROPICAL UPDATE
AUG 1, 2019...1109 AM EDT

1.  A tropical wave interacting with an upper level low in the Gulf of Mexico is moving across Cuba and the Southern Florida.  This interaction is producing showers and storms over the Atlantic waters and are moving toward Southern half of the State.  At time you can expect heavy downpours with localized street flooding gusty winds and frequent lightning.  This is a two part system being monitored by NHC.  First is the tropical wave that is the rain producer and the other half over the Bahamas, a weak low which we will continue to be monitor even though most models don't suggest much development.  Formation chance for this system within 5-days is LOW 10%.

2.  A broad area of low pressure associated with a strong tropical wave half way between the Africa and the Lesser Antilles has not changed much as this system moves through an area of dry conditions.

As this system approaches the Lesser Antilles it is forecast to develop into a depression or Tropical Storm Chantal.  However, we are now seeing some mix signals with two of the models starting with the EURO model, and now this morning with the American model (GFS).  Last night the EURO developed this system slightly then it showed 96L dissipating as it passed north of the Islands.  Now the GFS is also suggesting a dissipating system.  So for now, we should continue to monitor since their are to many variables in the forecast and models will continue to change in the coming days.

I will keep you posted so check back here every so often to get the latest.

RTW

 STORM INVEST 96L SATELLITE IMAGERY