ATLANTIC STORM INVESTIGATION 94L (JUST ADDED TO EXTRA MODEL A BOTTOM)

STORM INVESTIGATION 94L
SEPT 7, 2019...0130 PM EDT
RALPH'S TROPICAL WEATHER- RTW

Invest 94L continues to look well organized another small system similar to Dorian.  There seems to be some lite African dust rapping around the system at this time so rapid development is not likely.

As this system tracks west it has a chance for tropical cyclone formation east of the northern Leeward Islands.  The American model Global Forecast System (GFS) seems to be in a hurry to turn Invest 94L north over the Atlantic.  However, on the hand the ECMWF (EURO) Model keeps invest 94L north of the Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico.  If we have a Hurricane by that time historically speaking, this is usually means a track directly toward lower Bahamas and Southern Florida due to high pressure over this system and steering west-northwestward.

I'm not saying this will happen but when the EURO speaks you listen.  We need to monitor this system carefully into next week.

RTW

EURO WINDS FORECAST MONDAY SEPT 16 MIDNIGHT NORTH OF CENTER 45-70 MPH

TROPICAL STORM FORCE STRENGTH

NOTE ONLY A FORECAST SUBJECT TO CHANGE IN THE DAYS TO COME!

 WIND GUST MONDAY MIDNIGHT SEPT 16 LARGE IN A LARGE AREA NORTH OF CENTER 45-70 MPH TROPICAL STORM FORCE STRENGTH.

NOTE ONLY A FORECAST SUBJECT TO CHANGE IN THE DAYS TO COME!