...HUMBERTO FORECAST TO BECOME A CAT 2 OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC...BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR CLOSELY...

HUMBERTO FORECAST TO BECOME A CAT 2 HURRICANE OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC
SEPT 14, 2019...0517 PM EDT
RTW

NHC

000
WTNT34 KNHC 142036
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Humberto Advisory Number   9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL092019
500 PM EDT Sat Sep 14 2019

...HUMBERTO FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY SUNDAY NIGHT OR EARLY
MONDAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.4N 77.3W
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM N OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM NE OF FREEPORT GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of the Bahamas has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning for the Northwestern Bahamas.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

There are no coastal watches and warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Humberto was
located near latitude 27.4 North, longitude 77.3 West. Humberto is
moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this
general motion with a gradual turn to the north is expected during
the next day or so. A sharp turn to the northeast is expected on
Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Humberto should
continue to move away from the northwestern Bahamas tonight, and
then move well offshore of the east coast of Florida this weekend
and early next week.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Humberto is forecast to become a hurricane by Sunday night or
early Monday well east of the east coast of Florida.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
to the north and east of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Gusty winds in squalls are still affecting the northwestern
Bahamas.  These winds should subside later tonight.

RAINFALL: Humberto is expected to produce the following total
rainfall accumulations through Monday:

The Bahamas...Additional 1 to 3 inches, isolated storm totals
of 6 inches.

SURF:  Swells generated by Humberto are expected to affect
the northwestern Bahamas, and the coast of the U.S. from
from east-central Florida to South Carolina during the next few
days.  These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather
office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila