STORM UPDATE 11 AM EDT

STORM UPDATE 11 AM EDT
SEPT 24, 2019
RTW


NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER LINK
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

1.  KAREN STILL A QUESTIONABLE STORM SYSTEM AS TO HOW STRONG IT WILL BE IF AT ALL, AND WHERE IT WILL GO AS JERRY LEAVES THE AREA.  EURO MODEL STILL SUGGEST A SLOW DOWN THEN A TURN BACK TO THE WEST.  THE GFS ON THE OTHER HAND SHOWS KAREN BEING ABSORBED BY JERRY.  TO MANY VARIABLES TO BE ABLE TO SAY WHAT KAREN'S FUTURE WILL BE AT THIS TIME.  STORM DOES LOOK A BIT BETTER ORGANIZED NOW THAT SHEAR IS NOT OVER THE CYCLONE.

KAREN IS A SLOW MOVING STORM SO HEAVY RAINS IN SQUALL WILL BE AFFECTING THE ISLANDS WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF FLASH FLOODS IN THOSE AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING.  KAREN HAS A VERY SMALL WIND FIELD TO SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER.

2.  JERRY LOOKING ILL DEFINED AND MOVING VERY SLOWLY NORTHWARD PRACTICALLY DRIFTING NORTH.  AS JERRY BEGINS A EAST NORTHEAST TRACK TOWARD BERMUDA IT WILL BE SLOW MOVING AS WELL, SO HEAVY RAINS IN SQUALLS WILL SPREAD OVER THE ISLAND TOMORROW AS TROPICAL STORM  FORCE WINDS BEGIN TO AFFECT THE ISLAND.  JERRY HAS A LARGE WIND FIELD SO BERMUDA WILL BE IN TROPICAL STORM STORMS FORCE WINDS MOST OF WEDNESDAY AND A PART OF THURSDAY.


3.  LORENZO GETTING STRONGER OVER THE EAST ATLANTIC AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC.

RTW