TROPICAL OUTLOOK MORNING UPDATE

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE

SHOWERS AND STORMS GRADUALLY BUILDING OVER THE FLORIDA STRIATS PROMPTING MARIN WARNING THIS MORNING.  THESE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE URBAN STREET FLOODING.

STRONG GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS BEING PRODUCED BY A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE AND TO DEVELOPING LOW WILL CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES DUE TO TREE LIMBS HANGING OVER POWER LINES COULD OCCUR.

ALSO USE CAUTION WHEN WALKING UNDER LARGE TREE AND ROYAL PALM TREES.  BRANCHES COULD BREAK OFF AND FALL ON TOP OF YOU OR CARS.

RTW

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
SPECIAL TROPICAL OUTLOOK

224 
ABNT20 KNHC 141228
TWOAT 

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
830 AM EDT Thu May 14 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the potential 
for subtropical development this weekend northeast of the Bahamas.

An area of cloudiness and thunderstorms located over the Straits of 
Florida is forecast to spread northeastward during the next day or 
two. Environmental conditions are expected to become conducive for  
development, and this system is likely to become a tropical or 
subtropical depression or storm this weekend when it is located near 
or north of the northwestern Bahamas. The system is forecast to 
move generally northeastward over the western Atlantic early next 
week. Regardless of development, the disturbance is expected to 
bring locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds to portions of 
southeastern Florida and the central and northwestern Bahamas over 
the next couple of days. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook 
on this system will be issued by 3 PM EDT today, or earlier, if 
necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown

 00Z EURO MODEL

 06Z GFS AMERICAN MODEL

 00Z CMC CANADIAN MODEL

 06Z NAVGEM NAVY MODEL