1. A WESTWARD MOVING TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 63°/62° WEST HAS NO CONVECTION (THUNDERSTORMS) ASSOCIATED WITH IT. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AT THIS TIME.
2. A WESTWARD MOVING TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 88° WEST HAS SOME SHOWERS AND STORMS NEAR THE GULF OF HONDURAS AND SOUTHWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN AXIS OF THE WAVE MAINLY ASSOCIATED WITH A MONSOON TROUGH IN THIS AREA.
THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AT THIS TIME.
I AM STILL MONITORING THIS AREA WHERE WAVE #2 IS LOCATED AND THE MONSOON TROUGH IS LOCATED. GFS MODEL CONTINUES TO INSIST ON DEVELOPMENT AND TRACK NORTH INTO THE CARIBBEAN, THE YUCATAN THEN GULF OF MEXICO.
ONCE AGAIN I STRESS THIS IS ONLY A FORECAST AND IT IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE.
BERTHA NOW A DEPRESSION AND STILL A FLOOD THREAT FOR THAT REGION.
RTW
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