Thursday, June 18, 2020

RTW TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK


UNUSUAL STRONG WAVES MOVING EARLY OFF THE COAST OF AFRICA.  THERE IS A NEW ONE THAT IS PRESENTLY OVER THE AFRICA AND SHOULD EMERGE OFF THE COAST IN A DAY OR SO.  THIS POSSIBLE STRONG WAVE IS ACCOMPANIED BY VERY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

THE OTHER WAVE WHICH IS NEAR 22°/21° WEST IS ALSO ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG TO MODERATE CLUSTER OF STORMS.  SO FAR I DON'T SEE A CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH EITHER CLUSTERS, SO THAT IS GOOD NEWS AT THIS TIME.  I WILL CLOSELY MONITOR THESE SYSTEM AS THEY CROSS THE ATLANTIC.

AT THIS TIME I AM COUNTING THREE WAVES IN TOTAL.  NONE ARE SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION BUT IT COULD CHANGE IF CONDITIONS BECOME FAVORABLE.

THERE IS A TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHERN PENINSULA OF FLORIDA PRODUCING HEAVY SHOWERS AND STORMS THIS AFTERNOON, SOME ARE ACCOMPANIED BY HEAVY RAINS WHICH ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STREET FLOODING, STRONG GUSTY WINDS, SMALL HAIL AND LIGHTNING.

THERE IS A LARGE AREA OFF THE AFRICAN COAST OF SAHARA DUST WHICH IS KEEPING THAT REGION FREE FROM STORM DEVELOPMENT.

ELSEWHERE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

RTW


 VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWS SAHARA DUST FLOWING OFF THE AFRICAN COAST
AFRICAN CLOUD TEMP SATELLITE SHOWS STRONG STORMS OVER AFRICA

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