RTW TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

THE STRONG CLUSTER WE SAW YESTERDAY OVER AFRICA AND WEST OF THE COAST ARE NOW JUST SHOWERS AND STORMS INTERACTING WITH A MONSOON TROUGH IN THAT AREA.

THERE ARE A TOTAL OF THREE WAVES IN THE ATLANTIC BASIN AND SOME HAVE SHOWERS AND STORMS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AXIS OF THE WAVE WHICH IS PASSING OVER THE INTER-TROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE.  THIS INTERACTION WITH THE ITCZ IS PRODUCING INSTABILITY FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS CONVECTIVE (THUNDERSTORM) ACTIVITY.

THERE IS A STRONG CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF SAHARA DUST WHERE THERE IS A SURFACE TROUGH.  I WILL MONITOR IT DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

THE SURFACE TROUGH THAT WAS PRODUCING STRONG STORMS OVER SOUTHERN FLORIDA MOVED SLIGHTLY NORTH AND IS JUST SOUTH OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE.  THIS IS WHY THE STRONGEST STORMS HAVE MOVED NORTH OVER GLADES, LAKE OKEECHOBEE, PALM BEACH, MARTIN COUNTYAND PORT ST. LUCIE.

MOVEMENT OF THESE STORMS HAVE BEEN EAST NORTHEAST ALONG THE NORTHERN AXIS OF THE TROUGH.

THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION AT THIS TIME.

RTW