TROPICAL OUTLOOK STORM INVESTIGATIONS ATLANTIC BASIN...SEPT 4, 2020...0920 PM EDT

 IT SEEMS Y WHAT I HAVE BEEN SEEING THE PAST FEW DAYS THAT THE STEERING CURRENTS IN THE ATLANTIC ARE WEAK BECAUSE THESE INVEST HAVE NOT PROGRESSED WESTWARD.  IN FACT SOME MODELS SHOW SLOW MOVING SYSTEMS AS WELL.  SEEMS LIKE THAT STRONG AZORES HIGH WE HAD LAST MONTH HAS MOVED NORTHWARD A BIT AND THE RIDGE DOES NOT EXTEND SOUTH FAR ENOUGH TO PUSH THESE SYSTEMS WESTWARD.  THIS WILL MORE THAN LIKELY CHANGE NEXT WEEK.

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Sep 4 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Depression Omar, located about 400 miles east-northeast of Bermuda.

1. A non-tropical area of low pressure is located over the 
north-central Atlantic about 500 miles south-southeast of Cape 
Race Newfoundland.  This low is expected to move 
north-northeastward near 15 mph, and some slight subtropical or 
tropical development of this system is possible before it reaches 
cooler waters tonight.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

2. A nearly stationary broad area of low pressure is located over the 
east-central tropical Atlantic about midway between the west coast 
of Africa and the Windward Islands.  This system continues to 
produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms, and gradual 
development is possible after the larger tropical wave located near 
the Cabo Verde Islands passes to the north of this system on Sunday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

3. A tropical wave located just west of the Cabo Verde Islands is 
producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 
Gradual development of this system is expected as it moves 
westward to west-northwestward, and a tropical depression is likely 
to form early next week when the system reaches the central 
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

4. Another tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of 
Africa on Sunday.  Gradual development of this system is then 
expected, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of 
next week while it moves generally westward over the far eastern 
tropical Atlantic. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi