TROPICAL OUTLOOK STORM INVESTIGATIONS...SEPT 4, 2020...0200 PM EDT

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Sep 4 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Depression Omar, located about 500 miles east-northeast of Bermuda.

1. A non-tropical area of low pressure is located over the 
north-central Atlantic about 500 miles south-southeast of Cape 
Race, Newfoundland.  This low is moving north-northeastward toward 
cooler waters, and development as a subtropical or tropical cyclone 
is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

2. A nearly stationary broad area of low pressure is located over the 
east-central tropical Atlantic about midway between the west coast 
of Africa and the Windward Islands.  This system continues to 
produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms, and some 
development is possible during the next couple of days before it 
merges or interacts with a large tropical wave located to its east.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

3. A tropical wave and area of low pressure located just west of the 
Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms.  Gradual development of this system is 
expected as it moves westward to west-northwestward, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form late this weekend or early next week 
when the system reaches the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

4. Another tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of 
Africa on Sunday.  Gradual development of this system is then 
expected, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of 
next week while it moves generally westward over the far eastern 
tropical Atlantic. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi