TROPICAL OUTLOOK...STORM INVESTIGATION CARIBBEAN SEA

000
ABNT20 KNHC 301141
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Sep 30 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave located over the west-central Caribbean Sea is 
expected to move westward over the next couple of days and 
interact with a frontal system, producing a broad area of low 
pressure over the western Caribbean Sea by Thursday night or Friday. 
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for some 
development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form over 
the weekend while the system moves slowly west-northwestward over 
the northwestern Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch