TROPICAL OUTLOOK...STORM INVESTIGATION CENTRAL CARIBBEAN

 

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Sep 30 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A tropical wave located over the west-central Caribbean Sea is 
expected to move westward over the next couple of days, and produce
a broad area of low pressure over the western Caribbean Sea by 
Thursday night or Friday.  Environmental conditions are forecast to 
be conducive for some development thereafter, and a tropical 
depression could form over the weekend while the system moves slowly 
west-northwestward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Forecaster Pasch

GLOBAL FORECAST SYSTEM MODEL

CANADIAN MODEL