...WEATHER UPDATE...STORM INVEST 96L...OVER THE BAHAMAS CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED!...

 

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE BAHAMAS IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED, AND COULD BECOME A DEPRESSION AT ANYTIME TODAY OR THIS EVENING.  HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS IN SOME OF THE HEAVIER STORM CELL WILL SPREAD OVER THE WESTERN BAHAMAS, SOUTH FLORIDA AND FLORIDA STRAITS TONIGHT AND ON SATURDAY AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD TOWARD THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO.  SYSTEM NOW HAS A HIGH FORMATION CHANCE 70% WITHIN 5-DAYS.

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Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1125 AM EDT Fri Sep 11 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to update the discussion 
and development potential for the area of disturbed weather near 
the Bahamas.

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Paulette, located over the central tropical Atlantic, and on 
Tropical Storm Rene, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic.

1. Updated:  Shower and thunderstorm activity located over the 
northwestern and central Bahamas and the adjacent waters continues 
to shows signs of organization.  In addition, surface observations 
indicate that pressures have fallen over the area since yesterday 
and, along with wind data, suggest that a broad area of low pressure 
could be forming between the northwestern Bahamas and South Florida.
This system is forecast to move westward at about 10 mph, crossing 
the Bahamas and Florida today and tonight and moving into the 
eastern Gulf of Mexico on Saturday.  The disturbance could become a 
tropical depression while it is near South Florida tonight, but it 
is more likely to become a tropical depression while it moves slowly 
west-northwestward over the eastern Gulf of Mexico this weekend and 
early next week.  Regardless of development, this system is expected 
to produce locally heavy rainfall over portions of the Bahamas, 
South Florida, and the Florida Keys during the next couple of days, 
and interests there, as well as along the northern and eastern Gulf 
coast, should monitor its progress.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.