Friday, October 23, 2020

NEW STORM INVESTIGATION 95L FORMATION CHANCE AND MODELS


238 
ABNT20 KNHC 231139
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Oct 23 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Epsilon, located over the west-central Atlantic a couple of hundred 
miles northeast of Bermuda.

A broad area of low pressure located near Grand Cayman Island is 
producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms mainly east and 
south of the center. This system has become much better organized 
since yesterday, and a tropical depression could form during the 
next couple of days while the low moves slowly toward the northwest. 
This system is now anticipated to move near western Cuba this 
weekend and move slowly across the southeastern Gulf of Mexico by 
early next week.  Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall 
will be possible over portions of the Cayman Islands, Cuba, 
southern Florida and the Keys, and the northwestern Bahamas through 
the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake/Papin 




DAYS 1-3 RAINFALL PROBABILITIES







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