TROPICAL UPDATE MAY 19, 2021

 

DISTURBANCE INVESTIGATION AREA

NHC HAS INCREASED THE FORMATION CHANCE WITHIN 5 DAYS TO 40%, FOR THE AREA BEING MONITORED IN THE NORTH ATLANTIC.  READ BELOW NHC TROPICAL OUTLOOK TEXT.

I'M ALSO MONITORING AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER SOUTHEAST TEXAS.  SCROLL DOWN BELOW AND READ MY TEXT AND SEE IMAGE AND VIDEO.

RTW

Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed May 19 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A non-tropical low pressure system is forecast to develop a few 
hundred miles northeast of Bermuda by tomorrow afternoon and 
produce gale-force winds. The low is then forecast to move 
west-southwestward over warmer waters on Friday and could become a 
short-lived subtropical cyclone over the weekend to the northeast 
of Bermuda.  The system is expected to move toward the north and 
northeast into a more hostile environment by Monday.  For more 
information on this system, please see High Seas forecasts issued 
by the Ocean Prediction Center.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

High Seas Forecasts for this system can be found under AWIPS header 
NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at 
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Blake

A UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHEAST TEXAS IS SPREADING HEAVY RAINS AND STORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS OFF SHORE THE WESTERN GULF.  ROUGH SEAS WITH BUOYS REPORTING GUST OVER 40 MPH.

RTW