TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK MAY 16, 2021

SO FAR WE ARE LOOKING GOOD NO TROPICAL ACTIVITY AT THIS TIME.

GULF OF MEXICO AND BAHAMAS

REMAIN QUIET ACCEPT FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS LINGERING ALONG THE TEXAS COAST PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL.  FLOODING IS THE BIGGEST THREAT IF RAINFALL PERSIST.

 CARIBBEAN SEA

CARIBBEAN REMAINS QUIET WITH OCCASIONAL GALE FORCE CONDITIONS NORTH OF COLUMBIA COAST WITH PASSAGE OF LOW PRESSURES IN THAT REGION. 

CENTRAL ATLANTIC AND COAST OF AFRICA

THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC HAS SHOWER AND STORM ALONG THE ITCZ (INTER-TROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE) HOWEVER, CONDITIONS ARE NOT FAVORABLE A THIS TIME.  AS FOR THE SOUTHWEST AFRICAN COAST, THERE ARE STRONG STORMS MOVING OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS.  THIS IS MAINLY ASSOCIATED WITH A MONSOONAL TROUGH NEAR THIS REGION.

NORTH CENTRAL ATLANTIC

ALTHOUGH ONLY DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND STORMS IN THIS AREA. THE GFS MODEL AND EURO MODELS SHOW LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPMENT IN THIS NORTH CENTRAL ATLANTIC.  PRESSURE READINGS IN MODEL RUN SEEMS TO BE LOW ENOUGH FOR A TROPICAL CYCLONE.

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY.

RTW