Tuesday, June 8, 2021

RALPH'S TROPCAL WEATHER OUTLOOK....JUNE 8, 202...0437 PM EDT

 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK BY RTW

JUNE 8, 2021...0437 PM EDT

GULF OF MEXICO

  • UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVED ON SHORE THE NORTHEAST GULF COAST ENHANCE SHOWERS AND STORMS IN THIS AREA.  THE GULF OTHER WISE REMAINS QUIET FOR NOW.
  • FLORIDA EAST COAST AND BAHAMAS REMAIN QUIET.

CARIBBEAN SEA

  • THE SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN IS STILL BEING MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT BY THIS WEEKEND OR BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.  THERE ARE SEVERAL WAVES MOVING WEST THROUGH THIS REGION THAT COULD ENHANCE DEVELOPMENT.  SO WE ARE WAITING FOR TO SEE IF LOW PRESSURE FORMS BETWEEN NICARAGUA AND COLUMBIA.  AT THIS TIME CHANCES ARE LOW THEY DROPPED FROM 30% TO 20%.
  • EASTERN CARIBBEAN HAS SHOWERS A STORMS TRACKING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND ACROSS THIS AREA.  THERE STILL A LINGERING SURFACE TROUGH NORTH OF PUERTO RICO AND EXTENDS NORTH OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS.  THIS SHOWER ACTIVITY IS ALSO THE ENHANCEMENT FROM A TROPICAL WAVE NUMBER 2 PASSING THROUGH THIS AREA OF THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN.

NORTH ATLANTIC, CENTRAL AND AFRICAN COAST

  • NORTH ATLANTIC QUIET FOR NOW.
  • CENTRAL HAS TROPICAL WAVE NUMBER 3 INTERACTING WITH THE ITCZ.
  • THE AFRICAN COAST AND INLAND SHOWERS AND STORMS ENHANCED BY THE MONSOON TROUGH IN THE REGION.  TROPICAL WAVE NUMBER 4 SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE BEING ENHANCED BY THE MONSOON TROUGH AS WELL.

RTW




 NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER OUTLOOK

000
ABNT20 KNHC 081741
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Jun 8 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A broad trough of low pressure is expected to develop over the 
southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next couple of days.  Some 
gradual development will be possible thereafter while the system 
moves slowly northwestward toward Central America.  Regardless of 
development, this system could produce heavy rainfall across 
northern Colombia and portions of Central America from Honduras 
southward later this week and into the weekend.  See products from 
your local meteorological service for more information. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Pasch
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ 



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