RTW TRACKING THE TROPICS UPDATE JUNE 22, 2021...02:09 PM EDT

 

TRACKING THE TROPICS

STORM INVEST EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS IS NOT ANY BETTER ORGANIZED.  THIS SYSTEM WILL BE MOVING INTO STRONG UPPER LEVEL WIND SHEAR AS IT ENTERS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN.  FORMATION CHANCE ARE LOW 20% THROUGH 48 HOURS AND THROUGH 5-DAYS.

RTW

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

000
ABNT20 KNHC 221738
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Jun 22 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized associated with the 
tropical wave located about 500 miles east of the Windward Islands. 
In addition, recent satellite-derived surface wind data indicate 
the wave has not become better defined since yesterday. This system 
is expected to move west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph and has a 
limited amount of time remaining for development before 
upper-level winds become less favorable by Thursday. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin/Cangialosi