RTW TRACKING THE TROPICS UPDATE...JULY 22, 2021...10:52AM EDT

 

STILL MONITORING AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER GEORGIA THAT IS FORECAST TO EMERGE OFF THE EAST COAST AND POSSIBLY DEVELOP OVER THE WEEKEND.

THIS INVEST HAS A LOW FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HRS 10% AND A LOW FORMATION CHANCE 30% THROUGH 5-DAYS.

NHC

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Jul 22 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A broad trough of low pressure located over southern Georgia is 
expected to move off of the southeastern United States coastline by 
Friday. Environmental conditions are expected to be marginally 
conducive for some gradual development over the weekend and into 
early next week while the system drifts slowly offshore of coastal 
North and South Carolina. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Papin/Beven

ELSE WHERE IN THE TROPICS THE NORTH COAST OF COLOMBIA HAS A GALE WIND WARNING DUE TO LOW PRESSURE IN THIS REGION AND A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE LOW AND HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE CARIBBEAN.

THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC HAS TWO WAVES, FIRST ONE IS APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES AND THERE IS SOME SHOWER AND STORM ACTIVITY BEHIND THE WAVE MAINLY INTERACTION WITH THE ITCZ IN THIS AREA.  THE SECOND WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC IS ALSO INTERACTING WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH WHICH IS HELPING TO ENHANCE THE SHOWER AND STORM ACTIVITY IN THIS AREA.

RTW