...HURRICANE LARRY WILL BE MOVING THROUGH WARMER WATERS AND RAPID INTENSIFICATION WILL BEGIN OVER THE WEEKEND IF NOT BEFORE...

 

SO FAR LARRY CONTINUES TO GROW AND STRENGTHEN.  MODELS ARE SOME WHAT IN AGREEMENT THAT LARRY WILL STAY OUT OVER THE ATLANTIC AND ONLY BE A THREAT TO SHIPPING LANES.  MODEL TRENDS DO NOT SHOW A WESTWARD TRACK SO THIS IS GOOD NEWS.  THE GFS ENSEMBLE ALSO AGREE ON THE TRACK OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE ATLANTIC.

RTW

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

...LARRY IS LARGER AND A BIT STRONGER... ...STEADY TO RAPID INTENSIFICATION LIKELY IN THE COMING DAYS...

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11:00 AM AST Thu Sep 2
Location: 13.5°N 34.2°W
Moving: W at 17 mph
Min pressure: 985 mb
Max sustained: 80 mph

 

06Z GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBER

12Z-06Z-00Z-18Z GUIDANCE MODEL TREND