...PETER STILL ENCOUNTERING WIND SHEAR FROM AN UPPER LEVEL LOW AHEAD OF PETER...

UPPER LEVEL LOW AHEAD OF PETER IS PRODUCING STRONG WESTERLY AND SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR OVER THE STORM.  THESE WINDS HAVE SHOVED THE STORM CLOUDS EAST AWAY FROM THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION LEAVING THE LOW LEVEL CENTER EXPOSED.  IF THIS TREND CONTINUES WE MAY SEE PETER WEAKEN AND POSSIBLY DISSIPATE TO AN OPEN WAVE IN THE COMING DAYS.  I WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR PETER'S TRACKS AND PROGRESS.

MODELS STILL SHOWING PETER TURNING NORTH AND NORTHEAST IN TIME AS TROUGH MOVES OFF THE EAST COAST.

RTW

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

...PETER BATTLING INCREASINGLY HOSTILE WIND SHEAR... ...TROPICAL STORM EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS EARLY THIS WEEK...

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11:00 AM AST Mon Sep 20
Location: 19.5°N 60.9°W
Moving: WNW at 15 mph
Min pressure: 1007 mb
Max sustained: 50 mph