Monday, September 20, 2021

RTW TRACKING THE TROPICS UPDATE SEPT 20. 2021

 

INVEST 98L LOOKING RATHER HEALTHY ON SATELLITE THIS MORNING.

RTW

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL OUTLOOK

000
ABNT20 KNHC 201134
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Sep 20 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Peter, located east-northeast of the northernmost Leeward 
Islands, and on Tropical Storm Rose, located over the eastern 
tropical Atlantic Ocean.

A tropical wave located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic 
several hundred miles south-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands 
is producing an area of showers and thunderstorms that are showing 
some signs of organization.  Upper-level winds are expected to 
become more conducive for further development by midweek, and a 
tropical depression is likely to form by Friday while the system 
moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central 
tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

A storm-force, non-tropical low pressure system, the remnants 
of Odette, is located a couple of hundred miles southeast of 
Newfoundland.  This low could acquire some subtropical 
characteristics by the middle of this week as it moves slowly 
southeastward over warmer waters across the north-central Atlantic 
Ocean before moving northward out of the area over the weekend.  
Additional information on this system, including storm warnings, can 
be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather 
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be 
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and 
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Blake

 


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