RTW TRACKING THE TROPICS UPDATE SEPT 5, 2021...0256 AM EDT

 

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

000
ABNT20 KNHC 050508
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Sep 5 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Larry, located over the central tropical Atlantic about 900 miles 
east of the Leeward Islands. 

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over portions of Central 
America and the Yucatan Peninsula are associated with a surface 
trough and an upper-level disturbance.  Locally heavy rains are 
likely to continue today over that area.  The system is forecast to 
move northwestward over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico later today, 
then move slowly northward or northeastward over the western or 
central Gulf of Mexico.  Upper-level winds are only expected to be 
marginally conducive for tropical cyclone formation, but some slow 
development is possible while the system moves across the Gulf of 
Mexico through the middle of the week. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi