RTW TRACKING THE TROPICS UPDATE SEPT 5, 2021...INVEST 91L

 

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

007 
ABNT20 KNHC 051746
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Sep 5 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Larry, located over the central tropical Atlantic about 900 miles 
east of the northern Leeward Islands. 

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the Yucatan Peninsula 
and surrounding waters are associated with a surface trough and an 
upper-level disturbance.  Locally heavy rains are likely to continue 
today over that area.  The system is forecast to move slowly 
northward or northeastward over the central and then northeastern 
Gulf of Mexico over the next few days, when upper-level winds are 
only expected to be marginally conducive for tropical cyclone 
formation.  The disturbance is then expected to cross the  
southeastern United States beginning midweek, and some development 
is possible once it emerges over the Atlantic waters by late this 
week. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Latto