RTW TRACKING THE TROPICS UPDATE SEPT 7, 2021

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

755 
ABNT20 KNHC 072339
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Sep 7 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Larry, located over the central Atlantic several hundred miles 
southeast of Bermuda.

Showers and thunderstorms have increased somewhat this evening over 
the south-central Gulf of Mexico in association with a surface 
trough and an upper-level disturbance.  The system is expected to 
move slowly northeastward over the central and northeastern Gulf of 
Mexico during the next couple of days.  Upper-level winds are 
currently only marginally conducive for development, but they are 
forecast to become slightly more favorable by late Wednesday, and a 
tropical or subtropical depression could form as the system nears 
the northern Gulf coast Wednesday night or Thursday.  The 
disturbance is then expected to cross the southeastern United 
States, and some slight additional development will be possible 
after it emerges off the southeastern United States coast late this 
week.  Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall will be 
possible across portions of the Florida panhandle and southern 
Georgia on Wednesday and Thursday, with localized flooding possible.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart