RTW TRACKING THE TROPICS UPDATE... SEPT 8, 2021...10:01 AM EDT

 

HEAVY RAINS MOVING NORTH ASSOCIATED WITH INVEST 91L.  NEW INVEST FOR A WAVE OVER THE AFRICAN CONTINENT.

RTW

000
ABNT20 KNHC 081154
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Sep 8 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Larry, located over the central Atlantic several hundred miles 
southeast of Bermuda.

Disorganized cloudiness and a few thunderstorms over the central 
and eastern Gulf of Mexico are associated with a surface trough 
and an upper-level disturbance.  The system is expected to move 
northeastward over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico later today.
Upper-level winds could become slightly more favorable to support 
some tropical or subtropical development as the system nears the 
northern Gulf coast tonight or early Thursday.  The disturbance is 
then expected to cross the southeastern United States, and some 
additional development will be possible after it emerges off the 
southeastern United States coast late this week.  Regardless of 
development, areas of heavy rainfall will be possible across 
portions of the Florida panhandle and southern Georgia through 
Thursday, with localized flooding possible.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

A tropical wave is expected to emerge off of the western coast of 
Africa in a few days.  Some development of this system is possible 
thereafter as it moves west-northwestward over the far eastern 
Atlantic. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Latto