...RTW TRACKING THE TROPICS UPDATE OCT 8, 2021...

 

NATL. HURRICANE CENTER TROPIC OUTLOOK

000
ABNT20 KNHC 081124
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Oct 8 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An elongated area of low pressure located more than 150 miles off 
the coast of South Carolina is producing disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms well to the east of the center of circulation. Strong 
upper-level winds should prevent any significant tropical or 
subtropical development during the next day or two. By Sunday, 
however, environmental conditions could briefly become marginally 
conducive for some subtropical development of the low. By early 
next week, the low is expected to interact with a frontal boundary, 
which should end the opportunity for any subtropical or tropical 
formation. Regardless of development, the low is forecast to meander 
just offshore the Carolinas for the next few days, occasionally 
bringing locally heavy rains and gusty winds to eastern portions of 
the Carolinas through the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart